NHL Final Intelligence

MIN 6-2-2
1 – 2
FINAL
CGY 2-6-0

Minnesota Wild 1, Calgary Flames 2 — Recap

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📰Game Recap

Calgary, AB (AP) — The Calgary Flames secured a 2-1 victory over the Minnesota Wild on Wednesday, overcoming a significant shot disadvantage by building an early lead. Despite being outshot 36-22, Calgary found the net twice in the first period to establish control. Aydar Suniev opened the scoring for the Flames at 10:49 of the first period, assisted by Adam Klapka. Joel Farabee extended Calgary’s lead just over three minutes later at 14:06, with assists from Morgan Frost and Matt Coronato, putting the Flames up 2-0. SportsFBI’s pregame model had leaned toward Minnesota with a 67% probability.

The second period saw no further scoring, with both teams unable to capitalize on their opportunities. Calgary maintained its two-goal advantage heading into the final frame, while Minnesota continued to press, particularly evident in the disparity of shots on goal.

Minnesota finally broke through at 4:39 of the third period when Michael McCarron scored, assisted by Nico Sturm and Jonas Brodin, cutting Calgary’s lead to 2-1. Despite the Wild's sustained pressure throughout the game, Devin Cooley made 35 saves on 36 shots to secure the win for Calgary. Jesper Wallstedt stopped 20 of 22 shots for Minnesota. The win improves Calgary's record to 2-6-0, while Minnesota falls to 6-2-2.

#CalgaryFlames #MinnesotaWild #NHLRecap #HockeyNews

How the Prediction Fared

⚡ Upset

Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Minnesota Wild (-218, 69% implied) over the Calgary Flames. The underdog won.

⚡ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Minnesota Wild (67% confidence). It gave a 36% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 1 goal.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Puck line · MIN -1.5 CGY covered Won by 1
Total · 6.5 Under 3 combined
Moneyline MIN -215 · CGY +176 MIN favored
Line movementOpening line → close
Puck line (CGY) +1.5+1.5 No move
Total 6.56.5 No move
Moneyline (CGY) +176+176 No move

Standouts

Top Scorer · CGY
Aydar Suniev
1 G, 0 A, 1 PTS, 3 SOG · 11:40 TOI
Goals · CGY
Joel Farabee
1 G, 0 A, 1 PTS, 1 SOG · 18:51 TOI
Goaltending · CGY
Devin Cooley
35 saves on 36 shots (.972) · W
Season highs
Devin Cooley · Season-high 38 saves

Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.

📊 Game Flow

MIN 0 largest lead Never led
CGY 2 largest lead P1 14:06 (MIN 0, CGY 2) · 2-0 run, P1 10:49–P1 14:06
Swings 0 lead changes Tied 0 times
Scoring summary
  • P1 10:49 Aydar Suniev (Adam Klapka) CGY · Power play · wrist shot · MIN 0, CGY 1
  • P1 14:06 Joel Farabee (Morgan Frost, Matt Coronato) CGY · Power play · wrist shot · MIN 0, CGY 2
  • P3 4:39 Michael McCarron (Nico Sturm, Jonas Brodin) MIN · slap shot · MIN 1, CGY 2

Linescore

123 T
MIN 001 1
CGY 200 2

Shots on goal: MIN 36, CGY 22

Biggest Period

The Calgary Flames scored 2 goals in P1 — the biggest single period of the game.

📋 Team Stats

MINCGY
39Shots on goal22
67Shot attempts42
30Faceoff wins23
26Hits25
9Blocked shots12
0Power-play goals2
5Takeaways1
16Giveaways20
8Penalty minutes8
90.9%Save %97.4%
Shots on goal by period
TeamP1P2P3Total
MIN1291839
CGY118322

🎯 Shot Map

Minnesota Wild1 G · 57 attempts
Joel Eriksson Ek: missed the netZach Bogosian: saved (wrist)Tyler Pitlick: saved (wrist)Kirill Kaprizov: saved (wrist)Jonas Brodin: saved (wrist)Matt Boldy: saved (backhand)Quinn Hughes: saved (wrist)Joel Eriksson Ek: missed the netDaemon Hunt: saved (wrist)Ryan Hartman: saved (wrist)Danila Yurov: saved (wrist)Joel Eriksson Ek: saved (tip-in)Tyler Pitlick: missed the netTyler Pitlick: saved (slap)Kirill Kaprizov: missed the netJoel Eriksson Ek: saved (snap)Kirill Kaprizov: missed the netKirill Kaprizov: saved (wrist)Tyler Pitlick: saved (wrist)Jonas Brodin: missed the netJared Spurgeon: saved (wrist)Joel Eriksson Ek: missed the netMatt Boldy: saved (wrist)Blake Coleman: saved (wrist)Joel Eriksson Ek: missed the netKirill Kaprizov: saved (tip-in)Daemon Hunt: saved (wrist)Bobby Brink: saved (backhand)Quinn Hughes: saved (wrist)Kirill Kaprizov: missed the netBobby Brink: missed the netBlake Coleman: saved (wrist)Bobby Brink: saved (wrist)Jared Spurgeon: saved (snap)Ryan Hartman: missed the netMichael McCarron: goal (slap)Matt Boldy: saved (wrist)Matt Boldy: saved (wrist)Joel Eriksson Ek: saved (wrist)Joel Eriksson Ek: saved (wrist)Matt Boldy: saved (snap)Danila Yurov: missed the netMatt Boldy: missed the netQuinn Hughes: saved (wrist)Jonas Brodin: missed the netYakov Trenin: saved (snap)Jared Spurgeon: saved (wrist)Kirill Kaprizov: saved (wrist)Matt Boldy: saved (wrist)Quinn Hughes: saved (wrist)Danila Yurov: saved (wrist)Joel Eriksson Ek: missed the netDanila Yurov: missed the netMatt Boldy: saved (wrist)Jared Spurgeon: saved (tip-in)Kirill Kaprizov: missed the netDanila Yurov: missed the net
  • 1Goals2% of attempts
  • 38Saved67% of attempts
  • 18Missed the net32% of attempts
Calgary Flames2 G · 29 attempts
Jake Middleton: saved (wrist)Simon Nemec: missed the netMatt Coronato: saved (wrist)Matt Coronato: saved (wrist)Morgan Frost: saved (backhand)Simon Nemec: saved (wrist)Zayne Parekh: saved (wrist)Morgan Frost: saved (tip-in)Aydar Suniev: goal (wrist)Simon Nemec: missed the netMatvei Gridin: saved (wrist)Yan Kuznetsov: missed the netMorgan Frost: saved (snap)Joel Farabee: goal (wrist)Zayne Parekh: missed the netZayne Parekh: saved (backhand)Matt Coronato: saved (wrist)Yegor Sharangovich: saved (wrist)Morgan Frost: saved (backhand)Aydar Suniev: saved (wrist)Simon Nemec: saved (backhand)Zach Whitecloud: saved (wrist)Yan Kuznetsov: saved (wrist)Matvei Gridin: missed the netAydar Suniev: saved (snap)Matvei Gridin: saved (wrist)Adam Klapka: saved (wrist)Joel Farabee: missed the netRyan Strome: missed the net
  • 2Goals7% of attempts
  • 20Saved69% of attempts
  • 7Missed the net24% of attempts

● goal (large) · ● saved · ✕ missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.

🏒 Box Score

MIN skatersG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerPosGAP+/-SOGHITBLKTOI
Michael McCarron C 101+112011:28
Jonas Brodin D 011+110119:06
Nico Sturm C 011+103009:52
Quinn Hughes D 000+140031:04
Matt Boldy L 000071125:05
Kirill Kaprizov L 000042124:54
Joel Eriksson Ek C 000041023:14
Danila Yurov R 000020019:27
Jared Spurgeon D 000040019:19
Daemon Hunt D 000023316:09
Blake Coleman L 000021014:23
Zach Bogosian D 000011014:18
Olli Maatta D 000000014:16
Bobby Brink R 000021113:57
Ryan Hartman R 000011013:15
Yakov Trenin C 000017110:49
Rieger Lorenz L 000002008:40
Tyler Pitlick C 000+131106:44
MIN goaliesG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerDecSVSASV%GATOI
Jesper Wallstedt L 202290.9257:57
CGY skatersG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerPosGAP+/-SOGHITBLKTOI
Joel Farabee L 101011118:51
Aydar Suniev L 101030111:40
Matt Coronato R 011030017:18
Morgan Frost C 011041013:19
Adam Klapka R 011-114011:09
Kevin Bahl D 000004023:48
Simon Nemec D 000-120321:36
Zach Whitecloud D 000011020:38
Jake Middleton D 000011318:58
Jonathan Castagna C 000-102118:28
Yegor Sharangovich C 000010017:58
Martin Pospisil C 000004015:46
Zayne Parekh D 000020015:37
Ryan Strome C 000001015:19
Matvei Gridin R 000020014:57
Yan Kuznetsov D 000-112013:47
Brennan Othmann L 000-102112:06
Ben Jones C 000002210:45
CGY goaliesG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerDecSVSASV%GATOI
Devin Cooley W 383997.4160:00

🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines

PlayerPropLineActualResult
Joel Farabee CGY Points0.51 Over
Assists0.50 Under
Shots on goal1.51 Under
Jonas Brodin MIN Points0.51 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Morgan Frost CGY Points0.51 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Shots on goal1.54 Over
Matt Coronato CGY Points0.51 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Shots on goal2.53 Over
Blake Coleman MIN Points0.50 Under
Assists0.50 Under
Shots on goal1.52 Over
Quinn Hughes MIN Points1.50 Under
Assists0.50 Under
Shots on goal2.54 Over

The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.

⚔️ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series MIN 0 – 1 CGY
Last 4 meetings · since 2025-26 MIN 2 – 2 CGY
Previous meetingsOpen the recap
After this game
Minnesota Wild 6-3-2 L2 L10 5-3-2 Next game recap: @ SEA · Sat, Oct 24
Calgary Flames 3-6-0 W2 L10 3-6-0 Next game recap: vs DET · Sat, Oct 24

🔍 Key Suspects Results

5 of 8 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

MIN — Away
Quinn Hughes Quinn Hughes D Assists · BetMGM 0.5 OVER MISS Actual 0
Joel Eriksson Ek Joel Eriksson Ek C Shots on Goal · FanDuel 2.5 OVER HIT Actual 4
Danila Yurov Danila Yurov RW Anytime Goal · BetRivers 1+ MILESTONE MISS Actual 0
Matt Boldy Matt Boldy LW Shots on Goal · BetMGM 3.5 OVER HIT Actual 7
CGY — Home
Simon Nemec Simon Nemec D Points · BetMGM 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Yegor Sharangovich Yegor Sharangovich C Shots on Goal · DraftKings 1.5 UNDER HIT Actual 1
Matt Coronato Matt Coronato RW Points · DraftKings 0.5 OVER HIT Actual 1
Zayne Parekh Zayne Parekh D Shots on Goal · DraftKings 4+ MILESTONE MISS Actual 2

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