โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

ARI vs
COL

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies

May 16, 2026 ยท 3:10 PM ET ยท Coors Field
ARI 86-76  ยท  COL 58-104

๐Ÿ Final: ARI 2, COL 4 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Colorado Rockies
Confidence 72%
Projected Score COL 5 ยท ARI 2
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

COL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL Key injuries ARI (Corbin Burnes, Gabriel Moreno) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI SP quality edge (FIP 4.15 vs 5.62, PF 1.28) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI COL SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL ARI SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Defensive edge (dWAR 4.0) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Recent run diff (+3.6 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI SP road mastery (ERA 2.23 R vs 3.25 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

ARI โ€” Away LHP
Eduardo Rodriguez
Eduardo Rodriguez
ERA2.89
WHIP1.24
FIP3.88
K/96.8
K/BB3.9
Road ERA: 2.23
vs
COL โ€” Home RHP
Tomoyuki Sugano
Tomoyuki Sugano
ERA5.37
WHIP1.31
FIP5.34
K/95.6
K/BB3.5
Home ERA: 5.22

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

ARI โ€” Away
  1. 1 Ketel Marte DH
  2. 2 Corbin Carroll RF
  3. 3 Geraldo Perdomo SS
  4. 4 Nolan Arenado 3B
  5. 5 Ildemaro Vargas 2B
  6. 6 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF
  7. 7 Jose Fernandez 1B
  8. 8 James McCann C
  9. 9 Ryan Waldschmidt CF
COL โ€” Home
  1. 1 Willi Castro 2B
  2. 2 Brenton Doyle CF
  3. 3 TJ Rumfield 1B
  4. 4 Hunter Goodman C
  5. 5 Mickey Moniak DH
  6. 6 Ezequiel Tovar SS
  7. 7 Sterlin Thompson RF
  8. 8 Kyle Karros 3B
  9. 9 Jake McCarthy LF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

ARI Away COL Home
Team OPS 0.713 0.744
Bullpen FIP 3.95 5.45
Run Diff / 10G +1.4 -2.2
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -2 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
ARI +1.5 (+389)
COL -1.5 (-610)
Total (O/U)
Over 6.5 (+380)
Under 6.5 (-592)
Moneyline
ARI +980
COL -3400

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

ARI โ€” Away
Eduardo Rodriguez Eduardo Rodriguez SP
Outs
17.5
53 ยท UNDER
COL โ€” Home
Tomoyuki Sugano Tomoyuki Sugano SP
Pitcher Ks
2.5
66 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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