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MLB Matchup Intelligence

BAL vs
TB

Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays

May 19, 2026 ยท 6:40 PM ET ยท Tropicana Field
BAL 79-82  ยท  TB 98-64

๐Ÿ Final: BAL 1, TB 4 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Tampa Bay Rays
Confidence 72%
Projected Score TB 3 ยท BAL 1
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

TB Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Key injuries TB (Chandler Simpson, Griffin Jax) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Key injuries BAL (Samuel Basallo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB SP quality edge (FIP 3.62 vs 4.34, PF 0.95) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Defensive edge (dWAR 4.4) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Recent run diff (+3.7 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB BAL SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

BAL โ€” Away RHP
Kyle Bradish
Kyle Bradish
ERA4.12
WHIP1.46
FIP4.30
K/98.2
K/BB4.2
Road ERA: 4.93
vs
TB โ€” Home RHP
Griffin Jax
Griffin Jax
ERA3.53
WHIP1.18
FIP3.71
K/99.3
K/BB6.5
Home ERA: 2.91

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

BAL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Taylor Ward LF
  2. 2 Gunnar Henderson SS
  3. 3 Adley Rutschman DH
  4. 4 Pete Alonso 1B
  5. 5 Samuel Basallo C
  6. 6 Leody Taveras CF
  7. 7 Jackson Holliday 2B
  8. 8 Coby Mayo 3B
  9. 9 Colton Cowser RF
TB โ€” Home
  1. 1 Chandler Simpson LF
  2. 2 Junior Caminero 3B
  3. 3 Jonathan Aranda 1B
  4. 4 Yandy Diaz DH
  5. 5 Richie Palacios 2B
  6. 6 Jonny DeLuca RF
  7. 7 Cedric Mullins CF
  8. 8 Hunter Feduccia C
  9. 9 Taylor Walls SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

BAL Away TB Home
Team OPS 0.714 0.718
Bullpen FIP 3.94 4.55
Run Diff / 10G -1.7 +2.0
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
BAL +1.5 (-1180)
TB -1.5 (+600)
Total (O/U)
Over 3.5 (+183)
Under 3.5 (-246)
Moneyline
BAL +560
TB -1040

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

BAL โ€” Away

No data yet.

TB โ€” Home
Griffin Jax Griffin Jax SP
Outs
14.5
53 ยท UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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