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MLB Matchup Intelligence

BAL vs
TB

Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays

May 20, 2026 ยท 1:10 PM ET ยท Tropicana Field
BAL 79-82  ยท  TB 98-64

๐Ÿ Final: BAL 3, TB 5 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Tampa Bay Rays
Confidence 72%
Projected Score TB 6 ยท BAL 3
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

TB Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Key injuries TB (Chandler Simpson, Griffin Jax) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Key injuries BAL (Samuel Basallo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL SP quality edge (FIP 4.17 vs 5.16, PF 0.95) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB BAL SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Defensive edge (dWAR 2.8) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Recent run diff (+3.8 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

BAL โ€” Away RHP
Shane Baz
Shane Baz
ERA4.11
WHIP1.35
FIP3.52
K/97.7
K/BB4.6
Road ERA: 4.51
vs
TB โ€” Home LHP
Steven Matz
Steven Matz
ERA5.49
WHIP1.23
FIP4.95
K/96.9
K/BB4.0
Home ERA: 5.79

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

BAL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Taylor Ward LF
  2. 2 Gunnar Henderson SS
  3. 3 Adley Rutschman C
  4. 4 Pete Alonso 1B
  5. 5 Tyler O'Neill RF
  6. 6 Samuel Basallo DH
  7. 7 Jeremiah Jackson 2B
  8. 8 Weston Wilson 3B
  9. 9 Blaze Alexander CF
TB โ€” Home
  1. 1 Chandler Simpson LF
  2. 2 Junior Caminero 3B
  3. 3 Jonathan Aranda DH
  4. 4 Ryan Vilade 1B
  5. 5 Richie Palacios 2B
  6. 6 Jonny DeLuca RF
  7. 7 Cedric Mullins CF
  8. 8 Hunter Feduccia C
  9. 9 Taylor Walls SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

BAL Away TB Home
Team OPS 0.706 0.712
Bullpen FIP 3.94 4.55
Run Diff / 10G -1.9 +1.9
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
BAL +1.5 (+507)
TB -1.5 (-890)
Total (O/U)
Over 8.5 (+497)
Under 8.5 (-870)
Moneyline
BAL +1420
TB -10000

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

BAL โ€” Away
Shane Baz Shane Baz SP
Pitcher Ks
4.5
50 ยท OVER
TB โ€” Home

No data yet.

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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