โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

CHC vs
PIT

Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates

May 25, 2026 ยท 1:35 PM ET ยท PNC Park
CHC 89-73  ยท  PIT 82-80

๐Ÿ Final: CHC 1, PIT 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Pittsburgh Pirates
Confidence 72%
Projected Score PIT 3 ยท CHC 1
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

PIT Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC Key injuries PIT (Oneil Cruz) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT SP quality edge (FIP 3.38 vs 3.56) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC Defensive edge (dWAR 4.0) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT Recent run diff (+1.6 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC PIT SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

CHC โ€” Away RightHP
Ben Brown
Ben Brown
ERA1.85
WHIP0.94
FIP2.41
K/98.6
K/BB6.1
Road ERA: 1.04
vs
PIT โ€” Home RHP
Carmen Mlodzinski
Carmen Mlodzinski
ERA3.95
WHIP1.37
FIP3.65
K/97.1
K/BB3.9
Home ERA: 7.50

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

CHC โ€” Away
  1. 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong CF
  2. 2 Ian Happ LF
  3. 3 Michael Busch 1B
  4. 4 Alex Bregman 3B
  5. 5 Michael Conforto RF
  6. 6 Pedro Ramirez 2B
  7. 7 Moises Ballesteros DH
  8. 8 Miguel Amaya C
  9. 9 Dansby Swanson SS
PIT โ€” Home
  1. 1 Spencer Horwitz 1B
  2. 2 Brandon Lowe 2B
  3. 3 Bryan Reynolds RF
  4. 4 Nick Gonzales 3B
  5. 5 Oneil Cruz CF
  6. 6 Marcell Ozuna DH
  7. 7 Konnor Griffin SS
  8. 8 Jhostynxon Garcia LF
  9. 9 Henry Davis C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

CHC Away PIT Home
Team OPS 0.755 0.694
Bullpen FIP 5.34 3.99
Run Diff / 10G -2.1 -0.5
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -2 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
CHC -1.5 (+1040)
PIT +1.5 (-4300)
Total (O/U)
Over 3.5 (+620)
Under 3.5 (-1240)
Moneyline
CHC +990
PIT -3500

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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