โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

CLE vs
MIA

Cleveland Guardians vs Miami Marlins

July 11, 2026 ยท 4:10 PM ET ยท loanDepot park
CLE 85-77  ยท  MIA 80-82

๐Ÿ Final: CLE 4, MIA 1 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Miami Marlins
Confidence 72%
Projected Score MIA 4 ยท CLE 2
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

MIA Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Key injuries MIA (Jakob Marsee) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA SP quality edge (FIP 3.28 vs 4.91) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE MIA SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA CLE SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Recent run diff (+1.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA SP home venue edge (ERA 3.10 H vs 4.95 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

CLE โ€” Away RHP
Tanner Bibee
Tanner Bibee
ERA4.36
WHIP1.22
FIP4.41
K/97.1
K/BB4.5
Road ERA: 4.35
vs
MIA โ€” Home RHP
Eury Perez
Eury Perez
ERA3.91
WHIP1.21
FIP3.88
K/99.6
K/BB5.8
Home ERA: 3.10

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

CLE โ€” Away
  1. 1 Travis Bazzana 2B
  2. 2 Brayan Rocchio SS
  3. 3 Chase DeLauter DH
  4. 4 Kyle Manzardo 1B
  5. 5 Kahlil Watson RF
  6. 6 Gabriel Arias 3B
  7. 7 Petey Halpin CF
  8. 8 Patrick Bailey C
  9. 9 Steven Kwan LF
MIA โ€” Home
  1. 1 Liam Hicks DH
  2. 2 Otto Lopez SS
  3. 3 Kyle Stowers 1B
  4. 4 Xavier Edwards 2B
  5. 5 Heriberto Hernandez LF
  6. 6 Griffin Conine RF
  7. 7 Jakob Marsee CF
  8. 8 Joe Mack C
  9. 9 Javier Sanoja 3B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

CLE Away MIA Home
Team OPS 0.682 0.766
Bullpen FIP 3.99 3.97
Run Diff / 10G +0.3 +1.7
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
CLE -2.5 (-363)
MIA +2.5 (+257)
Total (O/U)
Over 5.5 (+255)
Under 5.5 (-359)
Moneyline
CLE -10000
MIA +1320

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

CLE โ€” Away
Steven Kwan Steven Kwan LF
Singles
0.5
65 ยท OVER
Brayan Rocchio Brayan Rocchio SS
Total Bases
4.5
60 ยท UNDER
Tanner Bibee Tanner Bibee SP
Outs
17.5
56 ยท UNDER
Gabriel Arias Gabriel Arias 3B
Singles
0.5
55 ยท OVER
MIA โ€” Home
Otto Lopez Otto Lopez SS
Singles
0.5
76 ยท OVER
Xavier Edwards Xavier Edwards 2B
Singles
0.5
74 ยท OVER
Javier Sanoja Javier Sanoja 3B
Singles
0.5
67 ยท OVER
Griffin Conine Griffin Conine RF
Singles
0.5
59 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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