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MLB Matchup Intelligence

DET vs
BOS

Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox

April 18, 2026 ยท 4:10 PM ET ยท Fenway Park
DET 76-86  ยท  BOS 87-75

๐Ÿ Final: DET 4, BOS 1 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Detroit Tigers
Confidence 72%
Projected Score DET 4 ยท BOS 2
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BOS Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Key injuries DET (Troy Melton, Colt Keith) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET SP quality edge (FIP 2.28 vs 4.58, PF 1.07) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Defensive edge (dWAR 11.3) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET K edge vs BOS lineup (10.6 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Recent run diff (+0.5 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

DET โ€” Away LHP
Tarik Skubal
Tarik Skubal
ERA2.72
WHIP0.96
FIP2.41
K/910.6
K/BB9.0
Road ERA: 1.04
vs
BOS โ€” Home RHP
Brayan Bello
Brayan Bello
ERA4.33
WHIP1.37
FIP3.79
K/97.1
K/BB4.3
Home ERA: 6.40

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

DET โ€” Away
  1. 1 Kevin McGonigle 3B
  2. 2 Gleyber Torres 2B
  3. 3 Colt Keith DH
  4. 4 Riley Greene LF
  5. 5 Spencer Torkelson 1B
  6. 6 Kerry Carpenter RF
  7. 7 Wenceel Perez CF
  8. 8 Javier Baez SS
  9. 9 Jake Rogers C
BOS โ€” Home
  1. 1 Roman Anthony LF
  2. 2 Andruw Monasterio SS
  3. 3 Willson Contreras 1B
  4. 4 Trevor Story DH
  5. 5 Wilyer Abreu RF
  6. 6 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
  7. 7 Caleb Durbin 3B
  8. 8 Connor Wong C
  9. 9 Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

DET Away BOS Home
Team OPS 0.706 0.717
Bullpen FIP 4.74 3.55
Run Diff / 10G +0.1 +0.6
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 -3

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
DET -2.5 (-189)
BOS +2.5 (+144)
Total (O/U)
Over 5.5 (+137)
Under 5.5 (-181)
Moneyline
DET -2600
BOS +880

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

DET โ€” Away
Tarik Skubal Tarik Skubal SP
Outs
18.5
50 ยท OVER
BOS โ€” Home

No data yet.

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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