โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

MIA vs
NYM

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets

July 31, 2026 ยท 7:10 PM ET ยท Citi Field
MIA 80-82  ยท  NYM 74-88

๐Ÿ Final: MIA 5, NYM 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Miami Marlins
Confidence 55%
Projected Score MIA 5 ยท NYM 4
Blowout Probability 3%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYM Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Key injuries NYM (Christian Scott, Jared Young) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Key injuries MIA (Jakob Marsee) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA SP quality edge (FIP 4.56 vs 8.89) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Recent run diff (+2.8 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Line move (41pp sharp) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

MIA โ€” Away RHP
Janson Junk
Janson Junk
ERA4.22
WHIP1.29
FIP4.04
K/96.5
K/BB4.1
Road ERA: 4.29
vs
NYM โ€” Home RHP
Kodai Senga
Kodai Senga
ERA7.34
WHIP1.65
FIP5.64
K/911.0
K/BB5.0

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

MIA โ€” Away
  1. 1 Liam Hicks DH
  2. 2 Xavier Edwards 2B
  3. 3 Otto Lopez SS
  4. 4 Kyle Stowers 1B
  5. 5 Griffin Conine RF
  6. 6 Heriberto Hernandez LF
  7. 7 Jakob Marsee CF
  8. 8 Joe Mack C
  9. 9 Javier Sanoja 3B
NYM โ€” Home
  1. 1 A.J. Ewing LF
  2. 2 Francisco Lindor SS
  3. 3 Bo Bichette 3B
  4. 4 Carson Benge RF
  5. 5 Luis Robert Jr. CF
  6. 6 Jared Young 1B
  7. 7 Brett Baty 2B
  8. 8 Jorge Polanco DH
  9. 9 Francisco Alvarez C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

MIA Away NYM Home
Team OPS 0.766 0.689
Bullpen FIP 3.97 4.39
Run Diff / 10G -1.5 +1.3
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
MIA -2.5 (-145)
NYM +2.5 (+111)
Total (O/U)
Over 8.5 (+117)
Under 8.5 (-152)
Moneyline
MIA -1220
NYM +610

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

MIA โ€” Away
Xavier Edwards Xavier Edwards 2B
Singles
0.5
77 ยท OVER
Otto Lopez Otto Lopez SS
Singles
0.5
76 ยท OVER
Javier Sanoja Javier Sanoja 3B
Singles
0.5
70 ยท OVER
Griffin Conine Griffin Conine RF
Singles
0.5
64 ยท OVER
NYM โ€” Home
Carson Benge Carson Benge RF
Singles
0.5
69 ยท OVER
Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 3B
Singles
0.5
63 ยท OVER
A.J. Ewing A.J. Ewing LF
Singles
0.5
58 ยท OVER
Francisco Alvarez Francisco Alvarez C
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
54 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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