โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYY vs
CHC

New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs

July 31, 2026 ยท 2:20 PM ET ยท Wrigley Field
NYY 93-68  ยท  CHC 89-73

๐Ÿ Final: NYY 2, CHC 0 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Chicago Cubs
Confidence 72%
Projected Score CHC 3 ยท NYY 0
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

CHC Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC SP quality edge (FIP 3.62 vs 5.37, PF 1.06) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC Defensive edge (dWAR 7.1) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC Recent run diff (+2.5 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYY โ€” Away RHP
Will Warren
Will Warren
ERA3.92
WHIP1.36
FIP3.86
K/99.1
K/BB6.0
Road ERA: 4.49
vs
CHC โ€” Home LHP
Shota Imanaga
Shota Imanaga
ERA3.77
WHIP1.10
FIP4.35
K/99.0
K/BB7.1
Home ERA: 3.97

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYY โ€” Away
  1. 1 Paul Goldschmidt 1B
  2. 2 Ben Rice DH
  3. 3 Amed Rosario 3B
  4. 4 Jasson Dominguez RF
  5. 5 Trent Grisham CF
  6. 6 Anthony Volpe SS
  7. 7 Spencer Jones LF
  8. 8 Ali Sanchez C
  9. 9 Jose Caballero 2B
CHC โ€” Home
  1. 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong CF
  2. 2 Pedro Ramirez 3B
  3. 3 Michael Busch 1B
  4. 4 Alex Bregman DH
  5. 5 Ian Happ LF
  6. 6 Nico Hoerner 2B
  7. 7 Michael Conforto RF
  8. 8 Dansby Swanson SS
  9. 9 Miguel Amaya C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYY Away CHC Home
Team OPS 0.702 0.761
Bullpen FIP 4.52 5.34
Run Diff / 10G +0.2 +2.7
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 2 -2

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYY -1.5 (-670)
CHC +1.5 (+416)
Total (O/U)
Over 2.5 (+393)
Under 2.5 (-620)
Moneyline
NYY -5700
CHC +1120

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

NYY โ€” Away
Paul Goldschmidt Paul Goldschmidt 1B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
79 ยท OVER
Ben Rice Ben Rice DH
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
79 ยท OVER
Jose Caballero Jose Caballero 2B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
77 ยท UNDER
Amed Rosario Amed Rosario 3B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
76 ยท UNDER
CHC โ€” Home
Michael Conforto Michael Conforto RF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
2.5
78 ยท UNDER
Miguel Amaya Miguel Amaya C
Hits + Runs + RBIs
2.5
77 ยท UNDER
Alex Bregman Alex Bregman DH
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
76 ยท OVER
Ian Happ Ian Happ LF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
75 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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