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MLB Matchup Intelligence

TB vs
BAL

Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles

May 25, 2026 ยท 1:35 PM ET ยท Oriole Park at Camden Yards
TB 98-64  ยท  BAL 79-82

๐Ÿ Final: TB 7, BAL 9 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Baltimore Orioles
Confidence 52%
Projected Score BAL 9 ยท TB 7
Blowout Probability 3%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BAL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Key injuries BAL (Samuel Basallo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Key injuries TB (Chandler Simpson, Griffin Jax) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB SP quality edge (FIP 2.73 vs 4.38) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Defensive edge (dWAR 5.8) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Recent run diff (+3.0 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL SP home venue edge (ERA 3.36 H vs 4.93 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

TB โ€” Away LHP
Shane McClanahan
Shane McClanahan
ERA3.36
WHIP1.12
FIP3.40
K/98.1
K/BB5.1
Road ERA: 4.36
vs
BAL โ€” Home RHP
Kyle Bradish
Kyle Bradish
ERA4.12
WHIP1.46
FIP4.30
K/98.2
K/BB4.2
Home ERA: 3.36

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

TB โ€” Away
  1. 1 Chandler Simpson LF
  2. 2 Junior Caminero 3B
  3. 3 Jonathan Aranda 1B
  4. 4 Yandy Diaz DH
  5. 5 Richie Palacios 2B
  6. 6 Cedric Mullins CF
  7. 7 Victor Mesa Jr. RF
  8. 8 Hunter Feduccia C
  9. 9 Taylor Walls SS
BAL โ€” Home
  1. 1 Taylor Ward LF
  2. 2 Gunnar Henderson DH
  3. 3 Adley Rutschman C
  4. 4 Pete Alonso 1B
  5. 5 Weston Wilson 3B
  6. 6 Leody Taveras CF
  7. 7 Blaze Alexander SS
  8. 8 Jackson Holliday 2B
  9. 9 Tyler O'Neill RF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

TB Away BAL Home
Team OPS 0.729 0.702
Bullpen FIP 4.55 3.94
Run Diff / 10G +1.7 -1.3
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
TB -1.5 (+585)
BAL +1.5 (-1120)
Total (O/U)
Over 15.5 (+193)
Under 15.5 (-261)
Moneyline
TB +152
BAL -200

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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