โ† MLB

MLB Final Intelligence

SD 78-68
5 โ€“ 3
FINAL
MIA 72-75

San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins โ€” Recap

July 26, 2026  ยท loanDepot park  ยท View Preview

๐Ÿ“ฐGame Recap

The San Diego Padres, entering the night at a balanced 53-53, orchestrated an impressive upset against the favored Miami Marlins (52-54), battling back from an early three-run deficit to secure a 5-3 victory. Miami quickly established control, with Hicks scoring on a throwing error in the second inning, followed by Conine coming home on a Pauley single in the same frame. Stowers then extended the Marlins' lead to 3-0 with a solo blast in the third. Padres starter Walker Buehler navigated through 5.1 innings, striking out seven and conceding just two earned runs, keeping San Diego within striking distance for a potential comeback.

The Padres finally broke through in the fifth when Manny Machado doubled to left, bringing Cronenworth across the plate for their first run of the game. However, the true turning point arrived dramatically in the top of the eighth inning, as San Diego exploded for four runs to seize control. Machado launched a 399-foot home run to center, tying the game at 3-3 and scoring Cronenworth. The rally continued as Merrill followed with a go-ahead, 395-foot solo shot to right-center, and Campusano capped the outburst with a single to left that scored Rengifo, giving the Padres a 5-3 lead. Machado finished the night as the Padres' top performer at the plate, collecting two hits, including his pivotal homer, driving in three runs, and scoring one himself.

How the Prediction Fared

โšก Upset

Pregame, the market favored the Miami Marlins (-131, 54% implied) over the San Diego Padres. Final: the San Diego Padres won 5โ€“3, pulling off the upset.

Player of the Game

Manny Machado
At the Plate
5 AB, 2 H, 1 HR, 3 RBI
Walker Buehler
On the Mound
5.1 IP, 7 K, 2 ER

Linescore

123456789 RHE
SD 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4 0 5 131
MIA 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 50

Turning Point

The game turned in the 8th inning, when the San Diego Padres scored 4 runs.

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Walker Buehler 5.1 4 3 2 2 7 5.13
Janson Junk 4.2 7 1 1 0 6 4.89
Cade Gibson 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 4.88
Lake Bachar L 1.0 5 4 4 0 0 4.12
Pete Fairbanks 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 7.18
Tyler Zuber 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 5.28
Adrian Morejon 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 3.20
Mason Miller S 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 0.82
Wandy Peralta W 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 3.04
Yuki Matsui 0.2 0 0 0 1 2 2.56
Michael Petersen 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 2.84

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Jake Cronenworth 5 3 0 0 2 0 1
Manny Machado 5 2 1 3 1 0 0
Kyle Stowers 4 2 1 1 1 0 1
Jackson Merrill 4 2 1 1 1 0 1
Luis Rengifo 4 2 0 0 1 0 0
Ty France 4 2 0 0 0 0 0
Graham Pauley 2 1 0 1 0 0 0
Luis Campusano 4 1 0 1 0 0 1
Javier Sanoja 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
Xavier Edwards 4 1 0 0 0 0 1
Gavin Sheets 4 1 0 0 0 0 1

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