MLB Final Intelligence
Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates โ Recap
July 26, 2026 ยท PNC Park ยท View Preview
Game Recap
The Pittsburgh Pirates, entering the contest as the favored team with a 54-52 record against the 59-46 Chicago Cubs, lived up to expectations in a hard-fought 8-7 victory. The game saw an early back-and-forth, with the Cubs drawing first blood in the top of the second inning when Swanson singled, bringing Conforto home for a 1-0 lead. However, Pittsburgh was quick to respond in the bottom half of the inning, as Valdez launched a 405-foot solo homer to left center, tying the game. Ross followed up with a 438-foot blast to left, also scoring O'Hearn, to give the Pirates a 3-1 advantage.
The turning point arrived decisively in the bottom of the third inning. Ryan O'Hearn delivered a monumental 406-foot homer to center field, clearing the bases and scoring Lowe, Reynolds, and Valdez along with himself, adding four crucial runs to the Pirates' tally and extending their lead to 7-1. Despite this significant deficit, the Cubs showcased their resilience immediately in the top of the fourth, chipping away with three runs. Kelly's groundout scored Hoerner, Ramirez singled to bring Conforto home, and Crow-Armstrong tripled to center, scoring Ramirez, narrowing the gap to 7-4. The Pirates managed to add another run in the bottom of the fifth when Valdez singled, scoring Lowe, pushing their lead to 8-4.
Pitching for the Pirates, Braxton Ashcraft delivered a top performance, navigating through 6.0 innings, striking out 5, and allowing 4 earned runs as the Cubs mounted their initial comeback. The Cubs continued to battle into the late innings, with Hoerner singling to left in the top of the eighth, scoring Busch and reducing the deficit to 8-5. The tension peaked in the ninth inning when Suzuki launched a 392-foot two-run homer to left, scoring Swanson and bringing Chicago within a single run at 8-7.
Ultimately, the Pirates held on to secure the narrow 8-7 win, affirming their status as the pregame favorite. Ryan O'Hearn was the standout at the plate for Pittsburgh, collecting one hit, a crucial home run, and driving in four runs while scoring twice himself, a performance that proved instrumental in the victory. The win improved the Pirates' record and kept their momentum rolling against their division rivals.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Pittsburgh Pirates (-125, 53% implied) over the Chicago Cubs. Final: the Pittsburgh Pirates won 8โ7.
Player of the Game
Turning Point
The game turned in the 3rd inning, when the Pittsburgh Pirates scored 4 runs.
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton Ashcraft W |
|
6.0 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 4.05 |
| Jameson Taillon L |
|
4.0 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5.92 |
| Aaron Civale |
|
2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5.35 |
| Carmen Mlodzinski |
|
2.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3.36 |
| Ryan Rolison |
|
1.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2.70 |
| Trent Thornton |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2.61 |
| Mason Montgomery S |
|
1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4.04 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe |
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Esmerlyn Valdez |
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Dansby Swanson |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Nico Hoerner |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pedro Ramirez |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Busch |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Nick Gonzales |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan O'Hearn |
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Seiya Suzuki |
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Shawn Ross |
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong |
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Ian Happ |
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Michael Conforto |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Bryan Reynolds |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Jake Mangum |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
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