Minnesota Timberwolves 117, Houston Rockets 107 — Recap

November 4, 2026 · Recap published November 4, 2026 · View Preview

📰Game Recap

The Minnesota Timberwolves secured a 117-107 victory over the Houston Rockets, defying the pregame SportsFBI model that leaned toward Houston at 63 percent probability. Minnesota established an early edge in the first quarter, outscoring Houston 33-30 behind active offensive execution.

Houston responded in the second and third quarters to narrow the margin, taking the second frame 27-24 and repeating that 27-25 advantage in the third to keep the contest tightly contested. Kevin Durant paced Houston with 21 points, 5 rebounds, 2 assists, and 2 made threes on 7-of-14 shooting, while Fred VanVleet added 18 points, 3 rebounds, 3 assists, and 4 three-pointers on 6-of-12 shooting.

Minnesota pulled away decisively in the fourth quarter by outscoring Houston 35-23 to seal the ten-point win. Ayo Dosunmu led the Timberwolves with 21 points, 1 rebound, and 6 assists on 10-of-20 shooting. LaMelo Ball contributed 20 points, 2 rebounds, 6 assists, and 4 threes on 6-of-11 shooting, and Nah'Shon Hyland chipped in 19 points, 2 rebounds, 4 assists, and 4 three-pointers on 7-of-13 shooting.

#Timberwolves #Rockets #NBA #Basketball

How the Prediction Fared

⚡ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Houston Rockets (63% confidence). It gave a 13% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 10 points.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · HOU -7.5 MIN covered Won by 10

Total · 218.5 Over 224 combined

Moneyline MIN +225 · HOU -275 HOU favored

Line movementOpening line → close

Spread (HOU) -9.5-7.5 +2

Total 224.5218.5 -6

Moneyline (HOU) -375-275 +100

Standouts

Top Scorer · HOU

Kevin Durant

21 PTS, 5 REB, 2 AST, 2 3PM · 7-14 FG

Scoring · MIN

Ayo Dosunmu

21 PTS, 1 REB, 6 AST · 10-20 FG

Scoring · MIN

LaMelo Ball

20 PTS, 2 REB, 6 AST, 4 3PM · 6-11 FG

Season highs

Alperen Sengun · Season-high 12 reboundsJonathan Kuminga · Season-high 4 threesNah'Shon Hyland · Season-high 4 threes

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

MIN 11 largest lead Q4 0:28 (MIN 117, HOU 106) · 7-0 run, Q1 0:20–Q2 11:28

HOU 5 largest lead Q1 1:49 (MIN 23, HOU 28) · 8-0 run, Q1 3:05–Q1 1:49

Swings 26 lead changes Tied 14 times

Ahead for good: LaMelo Ball makes 25-foot three point jumper (Jonathan Kuminga assists) (Q4 6:01, MIN 99, HOU 96).

Clutch timeEvery score of the final five minutes

Q4 4:38 Alperen Sengun makes free throw 1 of 2HOU · MIN 104, HOU 99
Q4 3:46 Fred VanVleet makes 27-foot three pointerHOU · MIN 104, HOU 102
Q4 3:27 LaMelo Ball makes 7-foot two point shotMIN · MIN 106, HOU 102
Q4 2:58 Fred VanVleet makes 14-foot fade away jump shotHOU · MIN 106, HOU 104
Q4 2:37 Jonathan Kuminga makes 23-foot three point jumper (Ayo Dosunmu assists)MIN · MIN 109, HOU 104
Q4 1:51 Jonathan Kuminga makes tip shotMIN · MIN 111, HOU 104
Q4 1:47 Kevin Durant makes free throw 1 of 2HOU · MIN 111, HOU 105
Q4 1:47 Kevin Durant makes free throw 2 of 2HOU · MIN 111, HOU 106
Q4 0:54 Jonathan Kuminga makes 23-foot three point jumper (Rudy Gobert assists)MIN · MIN 114, HOU 106
Q4 0:40 Rudy Gobert makes alley oop layup (LaMelo Ball assists)MIN · MIN 116, HOU 106
Q4 0:28 Rudy Gobert makes free throw 1 of 2MIN · MIN 117, HOU 106
Q4 0:19 Amen Thompson makes free throw 1 of 2HOU · MIN 117, HOU 107

Linescore

	1	2	3	4		T
MIN	33	24	25	35		117
HOU	30	27	27	23		107

🧮 How They Scored

MINHOU

Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor

61.5%Effective FG%50.6%

15.1%Turnover %15.9%

35.7%Offensive rebound %31.8%

0.218Free-throw rate0.366

Box Score

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Jaden McDaniels F	37	14	8	4	2	0	2	7-14	0-6	0-0	+9
Ayo Dosunmu G	34	21	1	6	2	0	0	10-20	0-3	1-2	+10
Rudy Gobert C	33	8	11	2	1	4	0	3-7	0-0	2-6	+11
Jonathan Kuminga F	32	16	8	5	1	1	1	5-10	4-7	2-4	+6
LaMelo Ball G	31	20	2	6	3	1	7	6-11	4-7	4-5	+15
Jaylen Clark G	25	10	4	1	2	0	3	4-6	2-3	0-0	-1
Trey Lyles F	20	5	2	0	0	1	0	2-3	1-2	0-0	+3
Nah'Shon Hyland G	16	19	2	4	1	0	2	7-13	4-7	1-2	-1
Joan Beringer F	13	4	7	0	0	1	2	2-3	0-0	0-0	-2

Houston Rockets

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Alperen Sengun F-C	39	17	12	10	0	3	4	5-15	0-1	7-9	-7
Jabari Smith Jr. F	35	11	4	2	0	3	1	3-4	2-3	3-4	-8
Kevin Durant F	35	21	5	2	1	1	4	7-14	2-5	5-6	-6
Amen Thompson G-F	32	11	8	1	0	0	3	3-9	0-2	5-6	-11
Fred VanVleet G	31	18	3	3	0	0	4	6-12	4-9	2-2	-8
Tari Eason F	24	9	6	1	2	0	0	4-10	1-5	0-0	-8
Reed Sheppard G	21	14	2	2	3	0	0	5-12	3-8	1-1	+2
Marcus Smart G	18	4	1	1	0	1	2	1-5	1-4	1-2	-7
Bogdan Bogdanovic G	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0
Oscar Tshiebwe F-C	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	0-0	0-0	+3