Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Tennessee Titans face Las Vegas Raiders in Week 16 at Allegiant Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Tennessee Titans enter with a 1-5 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 14.0 points scored and 21.5 allowed.
Las Vegas Raiders enter with a 3-3 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 27.0 points scored and 27.0 allowed. Their current streak is 3 losses.
The scoring matchup puts Tennessee Titans’s 14.0 points per game against a Las Vegas Raiders defense allowing 27.0. In the other direction, Las Vegas Raiders average 27.0 against Tennessee Titans’s 21.5 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Tennessee Titans have injury designations to monitor: Kevin Winston Jr. (S) — Questionable; Tony Adams (S) — Questionable; Dorian Mausi (LB) — IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Las Vegas Raiders have injury designations to monitor: Tonka Hemingway (DT) — Questionable; Dont'e Thornton Jr. (WR) — IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Las Vegas Raiders are Starting QB efficiency; Home field / environment.
The strongest model adjustments toward Tennessee Titans are Run-game matchup; Recent form.
The current model leans toward LV at 55.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Tennessee Titans 1-5
- 🏈 Record: Las Vegas Raiders 3-3
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
LVH Starting QB efficiency +1.2 Moderate
Kirk Cousins (2026) 63.4% CMP / 7.4 Y/A / 6.6% TD / 2.3% INT / 98.0 RATE · Cam Ward (2026) 61.6% CMP / 5.6 Y/A / 2.3% TD / 2.3% INT / 75.0 RATE
LVH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
LV home field | LV 70 days / TEN 70 days
TENA Run-game matchup +0.75 Strong
LV 3.0 rush Y/A / 4.9 allowed | TEN 3.8 / 3.8 | PBP 70% stuff avoided | 87% stuff avoided
LVH Record quality +0.67 Strong
LV 3-3 · TEN 1-5
TENA Recent form +0.60 Strong
LV L3 · TEN W1
LVH Game-script tendencies +0.45 Moderate
58% neutral pass / 62 plays | 51% / 51
TENA Early-down efficiency +0.39 Weak
41% / 48% allowed | 39% / 42% allowed
LVH Turnover differential +0.17 Moderate
LV 1.3 GIVE / 1.7 TAKE | TEN 1.3 / 0.8
LVH Raw scoring differential +0.15 Weak
LV 27.0 PPG · TEN 14.0 PPG | LV 27.0 PA/G · TEN 21.5 PA/G
LVH Special teams efficiency +0.11 Weak
LV FG 93.3% / NET PUNT 46.8 | TEN 90.0% / 45.6
LVH Third-down efficiency +0.10 Weak
LV OFF 42.3% / DEF 41.3% | TEN 34.8% / 40.0% | PBP 60%/50%/33% | 69%/44%/14%
TENA Red-zone TD efficiency +0.10 Weak
57% / 74% allowed | 47% / 55% allowed
LVH Schedule strength +0.08 Weak
LV 47% opp wins · TEN 43%
TENA Pass defense +0.08 Weak
LV 6.8 net Y/A / 63.7% CMP / 101.8 RATE | TEN 6.5 / 69.1% / 92.8
LVH Explosive-play differential +0.08 Weak
6% / 7% allowed | 4% / 5% allowed
LVH OL vs DL matchup +0.07 Weak
LV OL sack 3.5% / DEF sack 7.2% | TEN 5.3% / 7.8%
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