Lightning 4, Wild 3 (OT) — NHL Recap

📰Game Recap

The Tampa Bay Lightning defeated the Minnesota Wild 4-3 in overtime, overcoming an early deficit as SportsFBI's 57% pregame lean toward Tampa Bay proved correct. Minnesota seized control in the first period, taking a 2-0 lead when Blake Coleman opened the scoring at 0:55 off feeds from Olli Maatta and Quinn Hughes, followed by Maxim Shabanov converting at 2:58 with assists from Joel Eriksson Ek and Kirill Kaprizov. Tampa Bay began its comeback in the second period as Jake Guentzel scored at 16:34, assisted by Charle-Edouard D'Astous and Nikita Kucherov, cutting Minnesota's lead to 2-1.

Minnesota restored a two-goal advantage early in the third period when Shabanov tallied his second goal of the game at 6:49 to make it 3-1. The Lightning responded with a furious rally later in the frame, sparked by Guentzel's second goal of the night at 13:44 from Brayden Point and D'Astous. D'Astous then tied the game 3-3 at 16:29 with assists from John Carlson and Point, completing the comeback and forcing overtime after a 34-22 shot advantage for Tampa Bay over regulation.

Following a scoreless overtime session, the Lightning secured the extra point to improve their record to 10-3-2, while the Wild dropped to 12-3-3. Top performers included D'Astous with one goal and two assists, Guentzel and Shabanov with two goals apiece, and Point with two assists. In the goaltending box score, Calvin Pickard stopped 29 of 32 shots for Minnesota, and Dennis Hildeby turned aside 19 of 22 shots for Tampa Bay.

#Lightning #Wild #NHL #Hockey

How the Prediction Fared

✓ Favorite Won

Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Tampa Bay Lightning (-135, 57% implied) over the Minnesota Wild.

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Tampa Bay Lightning (57% confidence). It gave a 32% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 1 goal.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Puck line · TBL -1.5 MIN covered Won by 1

Total · 6.5 Over 7 combined

Moneyline TBL -134 · MIN +112 TBL favored

Line movementOpening line → close

Puck line (MIN) +1.5+1.5 No move

Total 6.56.5 No move

Moneyline (MIN) +106+112 +6

Standouts

Top Scorer · TBL

Charle-Edouard D'Astous

1 G, 2 A, 3 PTS, 3 SOG · 24:38 TOI

Goals · TBL

Jake Guentzel

2 G, 0 A, 2 PTS, 6 SOG · 23:41 TOI

Season highs

Charle-Edouard D'Astous · Season-high 3 pointsMaxim Shabanov · Season-high 2 goals

Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.

📊 Game Flow

TBL 0 largest lead Never led · 2-0 run, P3 13:44–P3 16:29

MIN 2 largest lead P1 2:58 (TBL 0, MIN 2) · 2-0 run, P1 0:55–P1 2:58

Swings 0 lead changes Tied 1 time

Scoring summary

P1 0:55 Blake Coleman (Olli Maatta, Quinn Hughes) MIN · wrist shot · TBL 0, MIN 1
P1 2:58 Maxim Shabanov (Joel Eriksson Ek, Kirill Kaprizov) MIN · Power play · backhand shot · TBL 0, MIN 2
P2 16:34 Jake Guentzel (Charle-Edouard D'Astous, Nikita Kucherov) TBL · Power play · slap shot · TBL 1, MIN 2
P3 6:49 Maxim Shabanov MIN · wrist shot · TBL 1, MIN 3
P3 13:44 Jake Guentzel (Brayden Point, Charle-Edouard D'Astous) TBL · tip-in shot · TBL 2, MIN 3
P3 16:29 Charle-Edouard D'Astous (John Carlson, Brayden Point) TBL · Power play · slap shot · TBL 3, MIN 3

Linescore

	1	2	3	OT		T
TBL	0	1	2	0		4
MIN	2	0	1	0		3

Shots on goal: TBL 32, MIN 22

📋 Team Stats

TBLMIN

34Shots on goal22

68Shot attempts55

33Faceoff wins26

19Hits21

10Blocked shots22

2Power-play goals1

6Takeaways4

12Giveaways11

11Penalty minutes19

86.4%Save %90.6%

Shots on goal by period

Team	P1	P2	P3	OT	Total
TBL	9	10	12	1	32
MIN	8	7	5	2	22

🎯 Shot Map

Tampa Bay Lightning3 G · 57 attempts

3Goals5% of attempts
29Saved51% of attempts
25Missed the net44% of attempts

Minnesota Wild3 G · 31 attempts

3Goals10% of attempts
19Saved61% of attempts
9Missed the net29% of attempts

● goal (large) · ● saved · ✕ missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.

🏒 Box Score

TBL skatersG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice

Player	Pos	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	HIT	BLK	TOI
Charle-Edouard D'Astous	D	1	2	3	0	3	1	2	24:38
Jake Guentzel	C	2	0	2	0	6	1	0	23:41
Brayden Point	C	0	2	2	0	2	0	0	21:02
Nikita Kucherov	R	0	1	1	0	8	0	0	24:43
John Carlson	D	0	1	1	+1	1	1	0	21:19
Victor Hedman	D	0	0	0	-1	0	0	2	20:51
J.J. Moser	D	0	0	0	-1	0	0	1	19:28
Erik Cernak	D	0	0	0	-1	0	1	2	18:27
Zemgus Girgensons	C	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	17:05
Brandon Hagel	L	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	16:46
Ryan McDonagh	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	16:02
Anthony Cirelli	C	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	13:41
Ilya Mikheyev	R	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	13:26
Pontus Holmberg	R	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	13:25
Gage Goncalves	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	10:44
Conor Geekie	C	0	0	0	-1	3	2	0	09:35
Scott Sabourin	R	0	0	0	-1	1	5	0	08:05
Jeffrey Viel	L	0	0	0	-1	1	4	0	07:29

TBL goaliesG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice

Player	Dec	SV	SA	SV%	GA	TOI
Dennis Hildeby	—	19	22	86.4	3	62:22

MIN skatersG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice

Player	Pos	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	HIT	BLK	TOI
Maxim Shabanov	R	2	0	2	+1	3	0	0	13:19
Blake Coleman	L	1	0	1	0	1	2	1	18:52
Quinn Hughes	D	0	1	1	0	1	1	2	29:29
Olli Maatta	D	0	1	1	+1	0	0	1	21:27
Kirill Kaprizov	L	0	1	1	0	5	1	0	20:26
Joel Eriksson Ek	C	0	1	1	+2	2	0	0	18:10
Jonas Brodin	D	0	0	0	0	2	0	6	25:57
Matt Boldy	L	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	21:56
Danila Yurov	R	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	16:37
Zach Bogosian	D	0	0	0	+1	2	1	2	15:49
Ryan Hartman	R	0	0	0	-1	0	0	2	15:38
Matt Kiersted	D	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	14:30
Bobby Brink	R	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	13:03
Nico Sturm	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	12:46
Yakov Trenin	C	0	0	0	+1	1	4	0	12:19
David Spacek	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	10:29
Nick Foligno	L	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	08:05
Marcus Foligno	L	0	0	0	0	0	3	1	07:15