โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

BAL vs
DET

Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers

July 28, 2026 ยท 6:40 PM ET ยท Comerica Park
BAL 79-82  ยท  DET 76-86

๐Ÿ Final: BAL 0, DET 14 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Detroit Tigers
Confidence 53%
Projected Score DET 6 ยท BAL 5
Blowout Probability 3%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

DET Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Key injuries DET (Troy Melton, Colt Keith) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Key injuries BAL (Samuel Basallo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET SP quality edge (FIP 3.21 vs 5.13) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Defensive edge (dWAR 2.7) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Recent run diff (+0.8 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL SP road mastery (ERA 2.13 R vs 4.46 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

BAL โ€” Away RHP
Dean Kremer
Dean Kremer
ERA4.68
WHIP1.14
FIP4.75
K/98.6
K/BB5.7
Road ERA: 2.13
vs
DET โ€” Home RHP
Troy Melton
Troy Melton
ERA2.76
WHIP1.13
FIP3.91
K/97.4
K/BB4.5
Home ERA: 3.21

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

BAL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Dylan Beavers DH
  2. 2 Pete Alonso 1B
  3. 3 Gunnar Henderson SS
  4. 4 Taylor Ward LF
  5. 5 Leody Taveras RF
  6. 6 Jackson Holliday 2B
  7. 7 Coby Mayo 3B
  8. 8 Colton Cowser CF
  9. 9 Yohel Pozo C
DET โ€” Home
  1. 1 Kevin McGonigle SS
  2. 2 Gleyber Torres 2B
  3. 3 Riley Greene LF
  4. 4 Dillon Dingler DH
  5. 5 Colt Keith 3B
  6. 6 Spencer Torkelson 1B
  7. 7 Zach McKinstry RF
  8. 8 Eduardo Valencia C
  9. 9 Javier Baez CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

BAL Away DET Home
Team OPS 0.694 0.761
Bullpen FIP 3.94 4.74
Run Diff / 10G +0.8 +0.0
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
BAL +5.5 (-109)
DET -5.5 (-120)
Total (O/U)
Over 10.5 (-135)
Under 10.5 (+104)
Moneyline
BAL +1100
DET -5200

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

BAL โ€” Away
Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 1B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
62 ยท OVER
Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson SS
Singles
0.5
54 ยท OVER
Dean Kremer Dean Kremer SP
Outs
15.5
51 ยท OVER
DET โ€” Home
Kevin McGonigle Kevin McGonigle SS
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
70 ยท OVER
Riley Greene Riley Greene LF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
66 ยท OVER
Gleyber Torres Gleyber Torres 2B
Singles
0.5
66 ยท OVER
Eduardo Valencia Eduardo Valencia C
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
62 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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