โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians

May 29, 2026 ยท 7:10 PM ET ยท Progressive Field
BOS 87-75  ยท  CLE 85-77

๐Ÿ Final: BOS 3, CLE 4 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Cleveland Guardians
Confidence 72%
Projected Score CLE 5 ยท BOS 3
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

CLE Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS SP quality edge (FIP 3.25 vs 4.09, PF 0.95) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Defensive edge (dWAR 6.4) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Recent run diff (+0.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE SP home venue edge (ERA 4.35 H vs 5.52 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

BOS โ€” Away LHP
ERA2.66
WHIP1.48
FIP3.25
K/97.6
K/BB4.0
vs
CLE โ€” Home RHP
ERA4.91
WHIP1.43
FIP4.47
K/97.4
K/BB4.5
Home ERA: 4.35

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

BOS Away CLE Home
Team OPS 0.727 0.699
Bullpen FIP 3.55 3.99
Run Diff / 10G -0.4 +0.0
Days Rest 0 1
Streak -3 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
BOS -1.5 (+1400)
CLE +1.5 (-10000)
Total (O/U)
Over 7.5 (+860)
Under 7.5 (-2400)
Moneyline
BOS +1340
CLE -10000

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.