โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

CIN vs
STL

Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals

July 24, 2026 ยท 8:15 PM ET ยท Busch Stadium
CIN 75-87  ยท  STL 77-85

๐Ÿ Final: CIN 4, STL 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† St. Louis Cardinals
Confidence 72%
Projected Score STL 5 ยท CIN 2
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

STL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Key injuries CIN (Chase Burns) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL SP quality edge (FIP 3.25 vs 4.87) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Defensive edge (dWAR 5.6) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL CIN SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

CIN โ€” Away RHP
Rhett Lowder
Rhett Lowder
ERA5.74
WHIP1.52
FIP4.57
K/97.0
K/BB3.2
Road ERA: 6.98
vs
STL โ€” Home RHP
Dustin May
Dustin May
ERA4.70
WHIP1.32
FIP3.40
K/98.9
K/BB5.8
Home ERA: 5.12

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

CIN โ€” Away
  1. 1 Elly De La Cruz SS
  2. 2 Sal Stewart 1B
  3. 3 JJ Bleday LF
  4. 4 Eugenio Suarez 3B
  5. 5 Nathaniel Lowe DH
  6. 6 Spencer Steer RF
  7. 7 Tyler Stephenson C
  8. 8 Dane Myers CF
  9. 9 Edwin Arroyo 2B
STL โ€” Home
  1. 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
  2. 2 Jordan Walker RF
  3. 3 Alec Burleson 1B
  4. 4 Ivan Herrera DH
  5. 5 Lars Nootbaar LF
  6. 6 Masyn Winn SS
  7. 7 Nathan Church CF
  8. 8 Blaze Jordan 3B
  9. 9 Jimmy Crooks C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

CIN Away STL Home
Team OPS 0.736 0.700
Bullpen FIP 5.25 3.97
Run Diff / 10G -0.6 -0.7
Days Rest 1 0
Streak -1 -4

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
CIN -1.5 (-660)
STL +1.5 (+411)
Total (O/U)
Over 6.5 (+389)
Under 6.5 (-610)
Moneyline
CIN -4800
STL +1080

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

CIN โ€” Away
Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz SS
Total Bases
1.5
52 ยท OVER
Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 1B
Singles
0.5
50 ยท OVER
STL โ€” Home
JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt 2B
Singles
0.5
66 ยท OVER
Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 1B
Total Bases
1.5
62 ยท OVER
Lars Nootbaar Lars Nootbaar LF
Singles
0.5
55 ยท OVER
Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera DH
Total Bases
1.5
51 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Launch Workspace Back to MLB