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MLB Matchup Intelligence

COL vs
NYM

Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets

April 24, 2026 ยท 7:10 PM ET ยท Citi Field
COL 58-104  ยท  NYM 74-88

๐Ÿ Final: COL 4, NYM 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Colorado Rockies
Confidence 72%
Projected Score COL 5 ยท NYM 3
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYM Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL Key injuries NYM (Christian Scott) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP quality edge (FIP 4.13 vs 5.00) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL NYM SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL Recent run diff (+1.1 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP home venue edge (ERA 1.76 H vs 4.32 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

COL โ€” Away RHP
Michael Lorenzen
Michael Lorenzen
ERA7.21
WHIP1.89
FIP5.31
K/96.4
K/BB2.5
vs
NYM โ€” Home RHP
Freddy Peralta
Freddy Peralta
ERA4.42
WHIP1.32
FIP4.14
K/98.3
K/BB5.0
Home ERA: 1.76

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

COL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Mickey Moniak DH
  2. 2 Hunter Goodman C
  3. 3 TJ Rumfield 1B
  4. 4 Tyler Freeman 2B
  5. 5 Troy Johnston RF
  6. 6 Kyle Karros 3B
  7. 7 Ezequiel Tovar SS
  8. 8 Jake McCarthy LF
  9. 9 Brenton Doyle CF
NYM โ€” Home
  1. 1 Bo Bichette 3B
  2. 2 Juan Soto DH
  3. 3 Francisco Alvarez C
  4. 4 Brett Baty RF
  5. 5 Mark Vientos 1B
  6. 6 Marcus Semien 2B
  7. 7 Carson Benge LF
  8. 8 Tyrone Taylor CF
  9. 9 Ronny Mauricio SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

COL Away NYM Home
Team OPS 0.737 0.731
Bullpen FIP 5.45 4.39
Run Diff / 10G -1.5 -2.6
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
COL -1.5 (+1380)
NYM +1.5 (-10000)
Total (O/U)
Over 7.5 (+1040)
Under 7.5 (-4300)
Moneyline
COL -10000
NYM +1320

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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