โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

Detroit Tigers vs New York Mets

May 13, 2026 ยท 7:10 PM ET ยท Citi Field
DET 76-86  ยท  NYM 74-88

๐Ÿ Final: DET 2, NYM 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Mets
Confidence 72%
Projected Score NYM 4 ยท DET 2
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYM Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Key injuries NYM (Jared Young, Christian Scott) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Key injuries DET (Troy Melton, Colt Keith) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP quality edge (FIP 4.16 vs 4.47) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM DET SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM K edge vs DET lineup (11.0 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Recent run diff (+2.5 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

DET โ€” Away LHP
ERA4.03
WHIP1.36
FIP3.90
K/97.0
K/BB3.5
Road ERA: 4.20
vs
NYM โ€” Home RHP
ERA3.85
WHIP1.27
FIP3.36
K/911.0
K/BB7.1
Home ERA: 4.02

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

DET Away NYM Home
Team OPS 0.678 0.732
Bullpen FIP 4.74 4.39
Run Diff / 10G -1.3 +1.2
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
DET -1.5 (+356)
NYM +1.5 (-551)
Total (O/U)
Over 5.5 (+129)
Under 5.5 (-166)
Moneyline
DET +198
NYM -271

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

DET โ€” Away
Framber Valdez Framber Valdez SP
Outs
17.5
52 ยท UNDER
NYM โ€” Home

No data yet.

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.