โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

MIA vs
MIN

Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins

May 13, 2026 ยท 7:40 PM ET ยท Target Field
MIA 80-82  ยท  MIN 77-85

๐Ÿ Final: MIA 9, MIN 5 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Miami Marlins
Confidence 72%
Projected Score MIA 9 ยท MIN 7
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

MIN Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIN Key injuries MIA (Jakob Marsee) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA SP quality edge (FIP 2.88 vs 6.17) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Defensive edge (dWAR 2.1) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Recent run diff (+0.8 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

MIA โ€” Away RHP
Max Meyer
Max Meyer
ERA2.68
WHIP1.14
FIP3.32
K/99.8
K/BB6.5
Road ERA: 2.91
vs
MIN โ€” Home RHP
Simeon Woods Richardson
Simeon Woods Richardson
ERA6.68
WHIP1.76
FIP5.74
K/95.5
K/BB0.4

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

MIA โ€” Away
  1. 1 Xavier Edwards 2B
  2. 2 Liam Hicks DH
  3. 3 Otto Lopez SS
  4. 4 Kyle Stowers LF
  5. 5 Connor Norby 1B
  6. 6 Jakob Marsee CF
  7. 7 Leo Jimenez 3B
  8. 8 Owen Caissie RF
  9. 9 Joe Mack C
MIN โ€” Home
  1. 1 Byron Buxton CF
  2. 2 Brooks Lee SS
  3. 3 Austin Martin LF
  4. 4 Josh Bell DH
  5. 5 Kody Clemens 1B
  6. 6 Luke Keaschall 2B
  7. 7 Victor Caratini C
  8. 8 Matt Wallner RF
  9. 9 Tristan Gray 3B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

MIA Away MIN Home
Team OPS 0.720 0.695
Bullpen FIP 3.97 4.18
Run Diff / 10G -0.6 -1.4
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
MIA -3.5 (-206)
MIN +3.5 (+155)
Total (O/U)
Over 15.5 (+131)
Under 15.5 (-172)
Moneyline
MIA -10000
MIN +1320

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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