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MLB Matchup Intelligence

PIT vs
STL

Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals

May 20, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM ET ยท Busch Stadium
PIT 82-80  ยท  STL 77-85

๐Ÿ Final: PIT 7, STL 0 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Pittsburgh Pirates
Confidence 72%
Projected Score PIT 4 ยท STL 2
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

STL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Key injuries PIT (Oneil Cruz) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT SP quality edge (FIP 3.46 vs 3.91) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT STL SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Recent run diff (+1.6 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT SP road mastery (ERA 5.17 R vs 7.50 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

PIT โ€” Away RHP
Carmen Mlodzinski
Carmen Mlodzinski
ERA3.95
WHIP1.37
FIP3.65
K/97.1
K/BB3.9
Road ERA: 5.17
vs
STL โ€” Home RHP
Michael McGreevy
Michael McGreevy
ERA3.95
WHIP1.28
FIP4.21
K/96.2
K/BB3.6
Home ERA: 3.98

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

PIT โ€” Away
  1. 1 Nick Gonzales 3B
  2. 2 Brandon Lowe 2B
  3. 3 Bryan Reynolds LF
  4. 4 Oneil Cruz DH
  5. 5 Spencer Horwitz 1B
  6. 6 Konnor Griffin SS
  7. 7 Endy Rodriguez C
  8. 8 Jhostynxon Garcia CF
  9. 9 Jake Mangum RF
STL โ€” Home
  1. 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
  2. 2 Ivan Herrera C
  3. 3 Alec Burleson 1B
  4. 4 Jordan Walker RF
  5. 5 Nolan Gorman DH
  6. 6 Masyn Winn SS
  7. 7 Cesar Prieto 3B
  8. 8 Nathan Church LF
  9. 9 Victor Scott II CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

PIT Away STL Home
Team OPS 0.731 0.629
Bullpen FIP 3.99 3.97
Run Diff / 10G -1.0 +0.6
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -4

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
PIT -3.5 (-145)
STL +3.5 (+111)
Total (O/U)
Over 5.5 (+131)
Under 5.5 (-172)
Moneyline
PIT -10000
STL +1340

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

PIT โ€” Away

No data yet.

STL โ€” Home
Michael McGreevy Michael McGreevy SP
Pitcher Ks
3.5
51 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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