โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

SD vs
MIL

San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers

May 13, 2026 ยท 7:40 PM ET ยท American Family Field
SD 91-71  ยท  MIL 103-59

๐Ÿ Final: SD 3, MIL 1 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† San Diego Padres
Confidence 72%
Projected Score SD 4 ยท MIL 1
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

MIL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SD Key injuries MIL (Andrew Vaughn, Joey Ortiz) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Key injuries SD (Casey Mize) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL SP quality edge (FIP 1.49 vs 3.85) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Defensive edge (dWAR 5.5) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL K edge vs SD lineup (13.0 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Recent run diff (+3.1 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL SD SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SD Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

SD โ€” Away RHP
Michael King
Michael King
ERA3.21
WHIP1.18
FIP3.92
K/97.7
K/BB4.3
Road ERA: 3.71
vs
MIL โ€” Home RHP
Jacob Misiorowski
Jacob Misiorowski
ERA1.80
WHIP0.80
FIP2.01
K/913.0
K/BB10.7
Home ERA: 1.41

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

SD โ€” Away
  1. 1 Jackson Merrill CF
  2. 2 Fernando Tatis Jr. 2B
  3. 3 Manny Machado 3B
  4. 4 Miguel Andujar DH
  5. 5 Xander Bogaerts SS
  6. 6 Gavin Sheets LF
  7. 7 Nick Castellanos RF
  8. 8 Ty France 1B
  9. 9 Rodolfo Duran C
MIL โ€” Home
  1. 1 Jackson Chourio LF
  2. 2 Brice Turang 2B
  3. 3 William Contreras C
  4. 4 Jake Bauers DH
  5. 5 Andrew Vaughn 1B
  6. 6 Garrett Mitchell CF
  7. 7 Luis Rengifo 3B
  8. 8 Sal Frelick RF
  9. 9 Joey Ortiz SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

SD Away MIL Home
Team OPS 0.705 0.763
Bullpen FIP 3.44 3.68
Run Diff / 10G -0.1 +3.0
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 4 5

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
SD -1.5 (-484)
MIL +1.5 (+325)
Total (O/U)
Over 4.5 (+288)
Under 4.5 (-417)
Moneyline
SD -1320
MIL +640

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

SD โ€” Away
Michael King Michael King SP
Outs
17.5
58 ยท OVER
MIL โ€” Home
Jacob Misiorowski Jacob Misiorowski SP
Outs
17.5
53 ยท UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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