โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros

May 13, 2026 ยท 8:10 PM ET ยท Daikin Park
SEA 76-86  ยท  HOU 81-81

๐Ÿ Final: SEA 3, HOU 4 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Houston Astros
Confidence 68%
Projected Score HOU 5 ยท SEA 3
Blowout Probability 12%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

HOU Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SEA Key injuries HOU (Daulton Varsho, Cristian Javier, Ethan Pecko) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SEA SP quality edge (FIP 4.77 vs 5.42) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
HOU SEA SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SEA Recent run diff (+2.2 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SEA Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

SEA โ€” Away RHP
ERA4.17
WHIP1.16
FIP4.36
K/99.1
K/BB6.2
Road ERA: 4.43
vs
HOU โ€” Home RightHP
ERA6.55
WHIP1.54
FIP4.83
K/99.8
K/BB4.3

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

SEA Away HOU Home
Team OPS 0.699 0.698
Bullpen FIP 4.56 4.20
Run Diff / 10G +0.6 -1.6
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 2 -2

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
SEA -1.5 (+810)
HOU +1.5 (-2100)
Total (O/U)
Over 7.5 (+280)
Under 7.5 (-402)
Moneyline
SEA +463
HOU -780

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

SEA โ€” Away
Bryce Miller Bryce Miller SP
Pitcher Ks
4.5
53 ยท OVER
HOU โ€” Home

No data yet.

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.