Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Buffalo Bills face Green Bay Packers in Week 14 at Lambeau Field. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Buffalo Bills enter with a 5-1 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 32.8 points scored and 28.5 allowed. Their current streak is 2 wins.
Green Bay Packers enter with a 4-2 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 21.2 points scored and 20.8 allowed. Their current streak is 3 wins.
The scoring matchup puts Buffalo Bills’s 32.8 points per game against a Green Bay Packers defense allowing 20.8. In the other direction, Green Bay Packers average 21.2 against Buffalo Bills’s 28.5 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Buffalo Bills have injury designations to monitor: DJ Moore (WR) — Questionable; Ed Oliver (DT) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Green Bay Packers have injury designations to monitor: Aaron Banks (G) — Questionable; Benjamin St-Juste (CB) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Green Bay Packers are Home field / environment; Pass defense.
The strongest model adjustments toward Buffalo Bills are Run-game matchup; Starting QB efficiency.
The current model sees a closely balanced matchup with no strong projected edge.
- 🏈 Record: Buffalo Bills 5-1
- 🏈 Record: Green Bay Packers 4-2
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
GBH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
GB home field | GB 56 days / BUF 56 days
BUFA Run-game matchup +0.97 Strong
GB 2.9 rush Y/A / 4.0 allowed | BUF 5.1 / 3.8 | PBP 69% stuff avoided | 86% stuff avoided
GBH Pass defense +0.75 Moderate
GB 5.1 net Y/A / 64.5% CMP / 73.9 RATE | BUF 6.8 / 64.9% / 102.5
BUFA Starting QB efficiency +0.65 Weak
Jordan Love (2026) 59.7% CMP / 7.5 Y/A / 4.9% TD / 1.8% INT / 91.8 RATE · Josh Allen (2026) 66.7% CMP / 8.8 Y/A / 5.3% TD / 2.3% INT / 102.1 RATE
GBH Key injury availability +0.50 Weak
GB 0 unavailable starters · BUF 1
BUFA Early-down efficiency +0.48 Moderate
40% / 44% allowed | 48% / 48% allowed
GBH Game-script tendencies +0.42 Moderate
57% neutral pass / 59 plays | 53% / 56
GBH OL vs DL matchup +0.39 Weak
GB OL sack 5.4% / DEF sack 6.6% | BUF 6.6% / 4.3%
BUFA Third-down efficiency +0.36 Moderate
GB OFF 35.5% / DEF 43.4% | BUF 47.6% / 45.0% | PBP 60%/36%/21% | 67%/74%/27%
BUFA Record quality +0.33 Moderate
GB 4-2 · BUF 5-1
BUFA Red-zone TD efficiency +0.27 Moderate
50% / 75% allowed | 69% / 69% allowed
GBH Turnover differential +0.22 Moderate
GB 1.2 GIVE / 1.8 TAKE | BUF 1.5 / 1.0
GBH Explosive-play differential +0.16 Weak
8% / 4% allowed | 9% / 7% allowed
GBH Recent form +0.15 Weak
GB W3 · BUF W2
GBH Schedule strength +0.13 Weak
GB 47% opp wins · BUF 41%
BUFA Special teams efficiency +0.08 Weak
GB FG 76.9% / NET PUNT 47.3 | BUF 100.0% / 46.0
BUFA Raw scoring differential +0.05 Weak
GB 21.2 PPG · BUF 32.8 PPG | GB 20.8 PA/G · BUF 28.5 PA/G
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