Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Los Angeles Chargers face Las Vegas Raiders in Week 14 at Allegiant Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Los Angeles Chargers enter with a 0-6 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 15.0 points scored and 25.2 allowed. Their current streak is 6 losses.
Las Vegas Raiders enter with a 3-3 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 27.0 points scored and 27.0 allowed. Their current streak is 3 losses.
The scoring matchup puts Los Angeles Chargers’s 15.0 points per game against a Las Vegas Raiders defense allowing 27.0. In the other direction, Las Vegas Raiders average 27.0 against Los Angeles Chargers’s 25.2 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Los Angeles Chargers have injury designations to monitor: Joe Alt (OT) — Questionable; Kayode Awosika (G) — Questionable; Tre' Harris (WR) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Las Vegas Raiders have injury designations to monitor: Tonka Hemingway (DT) — Questionable; Dont'e Thornton Jr. (WR) — IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Las Vegas Raiders are Starting QB efficiency; Record quality.
The strongest model adjustments toward Los Angeles Chargers are Run-game matchup; Early-down efficiency.
The current model leans toward LV at 59.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Los Angeles Chargers 0-6
- 🏈 Record: Las Vegas Raiders 3-3
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
LVH Starting QB efficiency +1.4 Strong
Kirk Cousins (2026) 63.4% CMP / 7.4 Y/A / 6.6% TD / 2.3% INT / 98.0 RATE · Justin Herbert (2026) 59.4% CMP / 6.3 Y/A / 2.8% TD / 4.4% INT / 68.8 RATE
LVH Record quality +1.0 Very Strong
LV 3-3 · LAC 0-6
LVH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
LV home field | LV 56 days / LAC 56 days
LVH Game-script tendencies +0.94 Very Strong
58% neutral pass / 62 plays | 43% / 56
LVH OL vs DL matchup +0.82 Moderate
LV OL sack 3.5% / DEF sack 7.2% | LAC 10.4% / 6.0%
LACA Run-game matchup +0.58 Moderate
LV 3.0 rush Y/A / 4.9 allowed | LAC 4.2 / 4.0 | PBP 70% stuff avoided | 83% stuff avoided
LACA Early-down efficiency +0.58 Moderate
41% / 48% allowed | 40% / 40% allowed
LVH Recent form +0.45 Moderate
LV L3 · LAC L6
LACA Schedule strength +0.33 Strong
LV 47% opp wins · LAC 64%
LVH Special teams efficiency +0.25 Moderate
LV FG 93.3% / NET PUNT 46.8 | LAC 81.8% / 43.3
LVH Raw scoring differential +0.24 Moderate
LV 27.0 PPG · LAC 15.0 PPG | LV 27.0 PA/G · LAC 25.2 PA/G
LACA Third-down efficiency +0.24 Moderate
LV OFF 42.3% / DEF 41.3% | LAC 34.1% / 31.1% | PBP 60%/50%/33% | 70%/36%/26%
LACA Explosive-play differential +0.24 Weak
6% / 7% allowed | 5% / 5% allowed
LACA Red-zone TD efficiency +0.22 Weak
57% / 74% allowed | 50% / 48% allowed
LVH Turnover differential +0.10 Weak
LV 1.3 GIVE / 1.7 TAKE | LAC 2.5 / 1.7
LVH Pass defense +0.07 Weak
LV 6.8 net Y/A / 63.7% CMP / 101.8 RATE | LAC 6.8 / 66.7% / 90.7
📄 More NFL Games — Sunday, December 13, 2026
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