Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Indianapolis Colts face Philadelphia Eagles in Week 14 at Lincoln Financial Field. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Indianapolis Colts enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 24.0 points scored and 27.3 allowed. Their current streak is 2 losses.
Philadelphia Eagles enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 17.7 points scored and 22.8 allowed. Their current streak is 4 losses.
The scoring matchup puts Indianapolis Colts’s 24.0 points per game against a Philadelphia Eagles defense allowing 22.8. In the other direction, Philadelphia Eagles average 17.7 against Indianapolis Colts’s 27.3 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Indianapolis Colts have injury designations to monitor: Jaylon Carlies (LB) — Questionable; Sauce Gardner (CB) — Doubtful; Anthony Gould (WR) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Philadelphia Eagles have injury designations to monitor: Saquon Barkley (RB) — Questionable; Nolan Smith Jr. (LB) — Questionable; Michael Carter II (CB) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Philadelphia Eagles are Home field / environment; Game-script tendencies.
The strongest model adjustments toward Indianapolis Colts are Early-down efficiency; Explosive-play differential.
The current model sees a closely balanced matchup with no strong projected edge.
- 🏈 Record: Indianapolis Colts 2-4
- 🏈 Record: Philadelphia Eagles 2-4
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
PHIH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
PHI home field | PHI 56 days / IND 56 days
INDA Early-down efficiency +0.44 Weak
37% / 42% allowed | 44% / 45% allowed
PHIH Game-script tendencies +0.42 Moderate
56% neutral pass / 55 plays | 55% / 63
INDA Explosive-play differential +0.32 Weak
4% / 5% allowed | 6% / 6% allowed
INDA OL vs DL matchup +0.31 Weak
PHI OL sack 7.4% / DEF sack 3.6% | IND 6.4% / 5.0%
INDA Recent form +0.30 Moderate
PHI L4 · IND L2
PHIH Run-game matchup +0.29 Weak
PHI 3.7 rush Y/A / 4.0 allowed | IND 4.0 / 4.8 | PBP 73% stuff avoided | 81% stuff avoided
PHIH Pass defense +0.17 Weak
PHI 6.5 net Y/A / 60.4% CMP / 88.2 RATE | IND 6.9 / 61.4% / 98.2
PHIH Red-zone TD efficiency +0.15 Weak
63% / 54% allowed | 63% / 61% allowed
INDA Schedule strength +0.13 Weak
PHI 45% opp wins · IND 51%
PHIH Turnover differential +0.13 Weak
PHI 0.8 GIVE / 0.5 TAKE | IND 1.8 / 0.5
INDA Special teams efficiency +0.10 Weak
PHI FG 100.0% / NET PUNT 44.1 | IND 100.0% / 44.2
PHIH Starting QB efficiency +0.07 Weak
Tanner McKee (2026) 57.8% CMP / 4.8 Y/A / 2.2% TD / 0.0% INT / 77.5 RATE · Daniel Jones (2026) 59.6% CMP / 5.9 Y/A / 1.8% TD / 2.8% INT / 71.1 RATE
INDA Raw scoring differential +0.04 Weak
PHI 17.7 PPG · IND 24.0 PPG | PHI 22.8 PA/G · IND 27.3 PA/G
INDA Third-down efficiency +0.01 Weak
PHI OFF 37.3% / DEF 38.9% | IND 37.3% / 30.4% | PBP 47%/61%/27% | 64%/45%/11%
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