Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Tennessee Titans face Detroit Lions in Week 14 at Ford Field. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Tennessee Titans enter with a 1-5 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 14.0 points scored and 21.5 allowed.
Detroit Lions enter with a 3-2 record across 5 completed games in this competition phase. They average 32.8 points scored and 29.6 allowed.
The scoring matchup puts Tennessee Titans’s 14.0 points per game against a Detroit Lions defense allowing 29.6. In the other direction, Detroit Lions average 32.8 against Tennessee Titans’s 21.5 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Tennessee Titans have injury designations to monitor: Kevin Winston Jr. (S) — Questionable; Tony Adams (S) — Questionable; Dorian Mausi (LB) — IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Detroit Lions have injury designations to monitor: Rock Ya-Sin (CB) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Detroit Lions are Starting QB efficiency; Home field / environment.
The strongest model adjustments toward Tennessee Titans are Run-game matchup; Third-down efficiency.
The current model leans toward DET at 61.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Tennessee Titans 1-5
- 🏈 Record: Detroit Lions 3-2
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
DETH Starting QB efficiency +2.1 Very Strong
Jared Goff (2026) 67.0% CMP / 7.8 Y/A / 6.3% TD / 0.0% INT / 111.3 RATE · Cam Ward (2026) 61.6% CMP / 5.6 Y/A / 2.3% TD / 2.3% INT / 75.0 RATE
DETH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
DET home field | DET 63 days / TEN 56 days
DETH Record quality +0.87 Very Strong
DET 3-2 · TEN 1-5
DETH Early-down efficiency +0.52 Moderate
51% / 48% allowed | 39% / 42% allowed
DETH Turnover differential +0.15 Moderate
DET 0.2 GIVE / 1.0 TAKE | TEN 1.3 / 0.8
DETH Raw scoring differential +0.13 Weak
DET 32.8 PPG · TEN 14.0 PPG | DET 29.6 PA/G · TEN 21.5 PA/G
DETH Game-script tendencies +0.13 Weak
58% neutral pass / 63 plays | 51% / 51
DETH Schedule strength +0.11 Weak
DET 49% opp wins · TEN 43%
TENA Run-game matchup +0.09 Weak
DET 4.4 rush Y/A / 4.2 allowed | TEN 3.8 / 3.8 | PBP 81% stuff avoided | 87% stuff avoided
TENA Third-down efficiency +0.08 Weak
DET OFF 37.3% / DEF 50.7% | TEN 34.8% / 40.0% | PBP 44%/63%/24% | 69%/44%/14%
DETH Red-zone TD efficiency +0.08 Weak
77% / 76% allowed | 47% / 55% allowed
TENA Explosive-play differential +0.07 Weak
6% / 8% allowed | 4% / 5% allowed
DETH OL vs DL matchup +0.04 Weak
DET OL sack 5.4% / DEF sack 8.6% | TEN 5.3% / 7.8%
TENA Pass defense +0.04 Weak
DET 6.4 net Y/A / 68.1% CMP / 106.3 RATE | TEN 6.5 / 69.1% / 92.8
DETH Special teams efficiency +0.04 Weak
DET FG 100.0% / NET PUNT 44.4 | TEN 90.0% / 45.6
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