Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Los Angeles Rams face San Francisco 49ers in Week 14 at Levi's Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Los Angeles Rams enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 22.5 points scored and 23.0 allowed. Their current streak is 2 losses.
San Francisco 49ers enter with a 6-0 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 29.5 points scored and 18.3 allowed. Their current streak is 6 wins.
The scoring matchup puts Los Angeles Rams’s 22.5 points per game against a San Francisco 49ers defense allowing 18.3. In the other direction, San Francisco 49ers average 29.5 against Los Angeles Rams’s 23.0 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Los Angeles Rams have injury designations to monitor: Trent McDuffie (CB) — Questionable; Justin Dedich (G) — IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
San Francisco 49ers have injury designations to monitor: Nick Bosa (DE) — Questionable; Mike Evans (WR) — Questionable; Marques Sigle (S) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward San Francisco 49ers are Starting QB efficiency; Record quality.
The strongest model adjustments toward Los Angeles Rams are Schedule strength; Key injury availability.
The current model leans toward SF at 59.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Los Angeles Rams 2-4
- 🏈 Record: San Francisco 49ers 6-0
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
SFH Starting QB efficiency +1.3 Strong
Brock Purdy (2026) 69.6% CMP / 8.5 Y/A / 8.2% TD / 1.2% INT / 118.1 RATE · Matthew Stafford (2026) 65.9% CMP / 7.2 Y/A / 4.4% TD / 2.4% INT / 91.7 RATE
SFH Record quality +1.0 Very Strong
SF 6-0 · LAR 2-4
SFH Recent form +1.0 Very Strong
SF W6 · LAR L2
SFH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
SF home field | SF 55 days / LAR 56 days
LARA Schedule strength +0.50 Very Strong
SF 35% opp wins · LAR 63%
LARA Key injury availability +0.50 Weak
SF 1 unavailable starters · LAR 0
SFH Raw scoring differential +0.37 Moderate
SF 29.5 PPG · LAR 22.5 PPG | SF 18.3 PA/G · LAR 23.0 PA/G
SFH OL vs DL matchup +0.30 Weak
SF OL sack 2.8% / DEF sack 6.6% | LAR 3.8% / 4.2%
LARA Pass defense +0.26 Weak
SF 5.5 net Y/A / 65.9% CMP / 88.4 RATE | LAR 5.3 / 57.5% / 77.2
LARA Third-down efficiency +0.17 Weak
64%/45%/40% | 73%/38%/22%
SFH Red-zone TD efficiency +0.15 Weak
90% / 50% allowed | 63% / 50% allowed
SFH Run-game matchup +0.12 Weak
SF 4.6 rush Y/A / 3.6 allowed | LAR 4.6 / 4.4 | PBP 84% stuff avoided | 84% stuff avoided
SFH Explosive-play differential +0.12 Weak
6% / 4% allowed | 6% / 4% allowed
SFH Turnover differential +0.11 Weak
SF 1.0 GIVE / 1.2 TAKE | LAR 1.5 / 1.0
SFH Special teams efficiency +0.11 Weak
SF FG 66.7% / NET PUNT 45.5 | LAR 60.0% / 41.5
LARA Game-script tendencies +0.06 Weak
56% neutral pass / 57 plays | 60% / 65
SFH Early-down efficiency +0.05 Weak
52% / 41% allowed | 51% / 44% allowed
📄 More NFL Games — Sunday, December 13, 2026
See the Full Analysis
All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.