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Buffalo Bills vs Houston Texans

September 13, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Reliant Stadium

SportsFBI Model

Projects Houston Texans to win — 53% confidence

Market-implied score: HOU 22 · BUF 23 Blowout chance (14+ margin): 30%

HOU Home field advantage

Betting Lines DraftKings

Spread

BUF -1.5 (-108)

HOU +1.5 (-112)

Total (O/U)

Over 44.5 (-115)

Under 44.5 (-105)

Moneyline

BUF -118

HOU -102

🔍 Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Full rankings, evidence breakdowns, and Hit Rate history are in the workspace.

BUF — Away

Josh Allen QB

passing + tds

1.5

76 · UNDER

James Cook III RB

anytime + td

0.5

74 · PUSH

DJ Moore WR

Receptions

3.5

72 · OVER

Dalton Kincaid TE

receiving + yards + 1q

0.5

70 · UNDER

HOU — Home

Nico Collins WR

Receptions

5.5

77 · UNDER

Ka'imi Fairbairn PK

fg + made

1.5

75 · OVER

David Montgomery RB

Receptions

1.5

73 · OVER

C.J. Stroud QB

rushing + yards

9.5

69 · OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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