Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Cleveland Browns face New Orleans Saints in Week 9 at Caesars Superdome. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Cleveland Browns enter with a 4-2 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 17.7 points scored and 20.3 allowed.
New Orleans Saints enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 25.3 points scored and 29.7 allowed.
The scoring matchup puts Cleveland Browns’s 17.7 points per game against a New Orleans Saints defense allowing 29.7. In the other direction, New Orleans Saints average 25.3 against Cleveland Browns’s 20.3 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Cleveland Browns have injury designations to monitor: Grant Delpit (S) — Questionable; Mason Graham (DT) — Questionable; Quinshon Judkins (RB) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
New Orleans Saints have injury designations to monitor: Kaden Elliss (LB) — Questionable; Kool-Aid McKinstry (CB) — Questionable; Quincy Riley (CB) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward New Orleans Saints are Home field / environment; Game-script tendencies.
The strongest model adjustments toward Cleveland Browns are Pass defense; Record quality.
The current model sees a closely balanced matchup with no strong projected edge.
- 🏈 Record: Cleveland Browns 4-2
- 🏈 Record: New Orleans Saints 2-4
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
NOH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
NO home field | NO 21 days / CLE 21 days
CLEA Pass defense +0.67 Moderate
NO 6.7 net Y/A / 66.5% CMP / 97.8 RATE | CLE 5.5 / 59.7% / 89.1
CLEA Record quality +0.67 Strong
NO 2-4 · CLE 4-2
NOH Game-script tendencies +0.55 Strong
56% neutral pass / 64 plays | 52% / 54
CLEA Early-down efficiency +0.39 Weak
39% / 51% allowed | 40% / 43% allowed
NOH OL vs DL matchup +0.29 Weak
NO OL sack 5.2% / DEF sack 7.0% | CLE 12.1% / 8.4%
CLEA Starting QB efficiency +0.29 Weak
Tyler Shough (2026) 65.1% CMP / 6.1 Y/A / 5.1% TD / 2.1% INT / 90.1 RATE · Deshaun Watson (2026) 63.8% CMP / 6.7 Y/A / 4.0% TD / 1.1% INT / 92.0 RATE
CLEA Special teams efficiency +0.28 Strong
NO FG 70.0% / NET PUNT 41.2 | CLE 92.3% / 46.4
CLEA Explosive-play differential +0.28 Weak
4% / 7% allowed | 6% / 6% allowed
NOH Red-zone TD efficiency +0.27 Moderate
84% / 62% allowed | 46% / 44% allowed
NOH Schedule strength +0.19 Moderate
NO 61% opp wins · CLE 52%
NOH Third-down efficiency +0.14 Weak
NO OFF 42.5% / DEF 44.6% | CLE 30.8% / 39.1% | PBP 77%/42%/29% | 73%/43%/13%
CLEA Raw scoring differential +0.06 Weak
NO 25.3 PPG · CLE 17.7 PPG | NO 29.7 PA/G · CLE 20.3 PA/G
CLEA Turnover differential +0.04 Weak
NO 2.0 GIVE / 1.5 TAKE | CLE 1.2 / 1.2
NOH Run-game matchup +0.03 Weak
NO 3.8 rush Y/A / 4.8 allowed | CLE 3.6 / 4.4 | PBP 83% stuff avoided | 79% stuff avoided
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