Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Los Angeles Rams face Washington Commanders in Week 9 at Northwest Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Los Angeles Rams enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 22.5 points scored and 23.0 allowed. Their current streak is 2 losses.
Washington Commanders enter with a 1-4-1 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 22.0 points scored and 28.7 allowed.
The scoring matchup puts Los Angeles Rams’s 22.5 points per game against a Washington Commanders defense allowing 28.7. In the other direction, Washington Commanders average 22.0 against Los Angeles Rams’s 23.0 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Los Angeles Rams have injury designations to monitor: Trent McDuffie (CB) — Questionable; Justin Dedich (G) — IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Washington Commanders have injury designations to monitor: Javon Kinlaw (DT) — Questionable; Marcus Mariota (QB) — Doubtful; Charles Omenihu (DE) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Washington Commanders are Home field / environment; Game-script tendencies.
The strongest model adjustments toward Los Angeles Rams are Early-down efficiency; Pass defense.
The current model leans toward LAR at 55.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Los Angeles Rams 2-4
- 🏈 Record: Washington Commanders 1-4-1
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
LARA Early-down efficiency +1.3 Very Strong
41% / 48% allowed | 51% / 44% allowed
WSHH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
WSH home field | WSH 20 days / LAR 21 days
LARA Pass defense +0.76 Moderate
WSH 6.6 net Y/A / 66.2% CMP / 105.0 RATE | LAR 5.3 / 57.5% / 77.2
LARA Third-down efficiency +0.54 Strong
WSH OFF 30.9% / DEF 44.4% | LAR 44.0% / 32.9% | PBP 63%/39%/21% | 73%/38%/22%
LARA Red-zone TD efficiency +0.53 Strong
56% / 77% allowed | 63% / 50% allowed
WSHH Game-script tendencies +0.52 Moderate
52% neutral pass / 61 plays | 60% / 65
LARA Record quality +0.33 Moderate
WSH 1-4 · LAR 2-4
LARA Explosive-play differential +0.28 Weak
6% / 6% allowed | 6% / 4% allowed
LARA OL vs DL matchup +0.25 Weak
WSH OL sack 6.5% / DEF sack 4.8% | LAR 3.8% / 4.2%
LARA Schedule strength +0.22 Moderate
WSH 51% opp wins · LAR 63%
WSHH Turnover differential +0.22 Moderate
WSH 0.3 GIVE / 1.3 TAKE | LAR 1.5 / 1.0
WSHH Starting QB efficiency +0.22 Weak
Jayden Daniels (2026) 64.7% CMP / 6.5 Y/A / 4.3% TD / 0.0% INT / 97.6 RATE · Matthew Stafford (2026) 65.9% CMP / 7.2 Y/A / 4.4% TD / 2.4% INT / 91.7 RATE
WSHH Special teams efficiency +0.20 Moderate
WSH FG 83.3% / NET PUNT 44.2 | LAR 60.0% / 41.5
WSHH Recent form +0.15 Weak
WSH L1 · LAR L2
LARA Raw scoring differential +0.15 Weak
WSH 22.0 PPG · LAR 22.5 PPG | WSH 28.7 PA/G · LAR 23.0 PA/G
WSHH Run-game matchup +0.14 Weak
WSH 4.6 rush Y/A / 4.0 allowed | LAR 4.6 / 4.4 | PBP 81% stuff avoided | 84% stuff avoided
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