Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Las Vegas Raiders face San Francisco 49ers in Week 9 at Levi's Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Las Vegas Raiders enter with a 3-3 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 27.0 points scored and 27.0 allowed. Their current streak is 3 losses.
San Francisco 49ers enter with a 6-0 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 29.5 points scored and 18.3 allowed. Their current streak is 6 wins.
The scoring matchup puts Las Vegas Raiders’s 27.0 points per game against a San Francisco 49ers defense allowing 18.3. In the other direction, San Francisco 49ers average 29.5 against Las Vegas Raiders’s 27.0 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Las Vegas Raiders have injury designations to monitor: Tonka Hemingway (DT) — Questionable; Dont'e Thornton Jr. (WR) — IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
San Francisco 49ers have injury designations to monitor: Nick Bosa (DE) — Questionable; Mike Evans (WR) — Questionable; Marques Sigle (S) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward San Francisco 49ers are Early-down efficiency; Record quality.
The strongest model adjustments toward Las Vegas Raiders are Game-script tendencies; Key injury availability.
The current model leans toward SF at 63.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Las Vegas Raiders 3-3
- 🏈 Record: San Francisco 49ers 6-0
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
SFH Early-down efficiency +1.3 Very Strong
52% / 41% allowed | 41% / 48% allowed
SFH Record quality +1.0 Very Strong
SF 6-0 · LV 3-3
SFH Recent form +1.0 Very Strong
SF W6 · LV L3
SFH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
SF home field | SF 20 days / LV 21 days
SFH Starting QB efficiency +0.88 Moderate
Brock Purdy (2026) 69.6% CMP / 8.5 Y/A / 8.2% TD / 1.2% INT / 118.1 RATE · Kirk Cousins (2026) 63.4% CMP / 7.4 Y/A / 6.6% TD / 2.3% INT / 98.0 RATE
SFH Run-game matchup +0.84 Strong
SF 4.6 rush Y/A / 3.6 allowed | LV 3.0 / 4.9 | PBP 84% stuff avoided | 70% stuff avoided
LVA Game-script tendencies +0.81 Very Strong
56% neutral pass / 57 plays | 58% / 62
SFH Explosive-play differential +0.73 Strong
6% / 4% allowed | 6% / 7% allowed
SFH Red-zone TD efficiency +0.60 Very Strong
90% / 50% allowed | 57% / 74% allowed
LVA Key injury availability +0.50 Weak
SF 1 unavailable starters · LV 0
SFH Pass defense +0.33 Weak
SF 5.5 net Y/A / 65.9% CMP / 88.4 RATE | LV 6.8 / 63.7% / 101.8
SFH Raw scoring differential +0.30 Moderate
SF 29.5 PPG · LV 27.0 PPG | SF 18.3 PA/G · LV 27.0 PA/G
SFH Third-down efficiency +0.26 Moderate
SF OFF 51.5% / DEF 38.6% | LV 42.3% / 41.3% | PBP 64%/45%/40% | 60%/50%/33%
LVA Schedule strength +0.25 Moderate
SF 35% opp wins · LV 47%
LVA Special teams efficiency +0.25 Moderate
SF FG 66.7% / NET PUNT 45.5 | LV 93.3% / 46.8
LVA OL vs DL matchup +0.10 Weak
SF OL sack 2.8% / DEF sack 6.6% | LV 3.5% / 7.2%
LVA Turnover differential +0.05 Weak
SF 1.0 GIVE / 1.2 TAKE | LV 1.3 / 1.7
📄 More NFL Games — Sunday, November 8, 2026
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