Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Indianapolis Colts face Cleveland Browns in Week 17 at Huntington Bank Field. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Indianapolis Colts enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 24.0 points scored and 27.3 allowed. Their current streak is 2 losses.
Cleveland Browns enter with a 4-2 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 17.7 points scored and 20.3 allowed.
The scoring matchup puts Indianapolis Colts’s 24.0 points per game against a Cleveland Browns defense allowing 20.3. In the other direction, Cleveland Browns average 17.7 against Indianapolis Colts’s 27.3 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Indianapolis Colts have injury designations to monitor: Jaylon Carlies (LB) — Questionable; Sauce Gardner (CB) — Doubtful; Anthony Gould (WR) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Cleveland Browns have injury designations to monitor: Grant Delpit (S) — Questionable; Mason Graham (DT) — Questionable; Quinshon Judkins (RB) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Cleveland Browns are Starting QB efficiency; Home field / environment.
The strongest model adjustments toward Indianapolis Colts are Third-down efficiency; Early-down efficiency.
The current model leans toward CLE at 58.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Indianapolis Colts 2-4
- 🏈 Record: Cleveland Browns 4-2
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
CLEH Starting QB efficiency +1.1 Moderate
Deshaun Watson (2026) 63.8% CMP / 6.7 Y/A / 4.0% TD / 1.1% INT / 92.0 RATE · Daniel Jones (2026) 59.6% CMP / 5.9 Y/A / 1.8% TD / 2.8% INT / 71.1 RATE
CLEH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
CLE home field | CLE 77 days / IND 77 days
CLEH Record quality +0.67 Strong
CLE 4-2 · IND 2-4
CLEH Pass defense +0.64 Moderate
CLE 5.5 net Y/A / 59.7% CMP / 89.1 RATE | IND 6.9 / 61.4% / 98.2
CLEH Recent form +0.45 Moderate
CLE W1 · IND L2
INDA Third-down efficiency +0.28 Moderate
CLE OFF 30.8% / DEF 39.1% | IND 37.3% / 30.4% | PBP 73%/43%/13% | 64%/45%/11%
INDA Early-down efficiency +0.24 Weak
40% / 43% allowed | 44% / 45% allowed
INDA Explosive-play differential +0.24 Weak
6% / 6% allowed | 6% / 6% allowed
CLEH Turnover differential +0.17 Moderate
CLE 1.2 GIVE / 1.2 TAKE | IND 1.8 / 0.5
INDA Game-script tendencies +0.16 Weak
52% neutral pass / 54 plays | 55% / 63
CLEH Run-game matchup +0.11 Weak
CLE 3.6 rush Y/A / 4.4 allowed | IND 4.0 / 4.8 | PBP 79% stuff avoided | 81% stuff avoided
CLEH Raw scoring differential +0.06 Weak
CLE 17.7 PPG · IND 24.0 PPG | CLE 20.3 PA/G · IND 27.3 PA/G
CLEH OL vs DL matchup +0.05 Weak
CLE OL sack 12.1% / DEF sack 8.4% | IND 6.4% / 5.0%
INDA Special teams efficiency +0.02 Weak
CLE FG 92.3% / NET PUNT 46.4 | IND 100.0% / 44.2
CLEH Red-zone TD efficiency +0.02 Weak
46% / 44% allowed | 63% / 61% allowed
CLEH Schedule strength +0.01 Weak
CLE 52% opp wins · IND 51%
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