Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Pittsburgh Steelers face Tennessee Titans in Week 17 at Nissan Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Pittsburgh Steelers enter with a 4-2 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 22.8 points scored and 21.3 allowed. Their current streak is 2 wins.
Tennessee Titans enter with a 1-5 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 14.0 points scored and 21.5 allowed.
The scoring matchup puts Pittsburgh Steelers’s 22.8 points per game against a Tennessee Titans defense allowing 21.5. In the other direction, Tennessee Titans average 14.0 against Pittsburgh Steelers’s 21.3 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Pittsburgh Steelers have injury designations to monitor: Ben Skowronek (WR) — Questionable; Brandin Echols (CB) — Questionable; DeShon Elliott (S) — IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Tennessee Titans have injury designations to monitor: Kevin Winston Jr. (S) — Questionable; Tony Adams (S) — Questionable; Dorian Mausi (LB) — IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Tennessee Titans are Home field / environment; OL vs DL matchup.
The strongest model adjustments toward Pittsburgh Steelers are Record quality; Starting QB efficiency.
The current model leans toward PIT at 54.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Pittsburgh Steelers 4-2
- 🏈 Record: Tennessee Titans 1-5
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
PITA Record quality +1.0 Very Strong
TEN 1-5 · PIT 4-2
TENH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
TEN home field | TEN 77 days / PIT 77 days
PITA Starting QB efficiency +0.58 Weak
Cam Ward (2026) 61.6% CMP / 5.6 Y/A / 2.3% TD / 2.3% INT / 75.0 RATE · Aaron Rodgers (2026) 61.4% CMP / 6.4 Y/A / 5.2% TD / 2.1% INT / 88.0 RATE
PITA Pass defense +0.48 Moderate
TEN 6.5 net Y/A / 69.1% CMP / 92.8 RATE | PIT 5.7 / 61.7% / 78.6
TENH OL vs DL matchup +0.39 Weak
TEN OL sack 5.3% / DEF sack 7.8% | PIT 7.5% / 7.4%
PITA Turnover differential +0.20 Moderate
TEN 1.3 GIVE / 0.8 TAKE | PIT 1.2 / 1.7
PITA Raw scoring differential +0.19 Weak
TEN 14.0 PPG · PIT 22.8 PPG | TEN 21.5 PA/G · PIT 21.3 PA/G
PITA Game-script tendencies +0.19 Weak
51% neutral pass / 51 plays | 64% / 60
PITA Red-zone TD efficiency +0.19 Weak
47% / 55% allowed | 53% / 50% allowed
PITA Recent form +0.15 Weak
TEN W1 · PIT W2
TENH Early-down efficiency +0.15 Weak
39% / 42% allowed | 42% / 45% allowed
TENH Special teams efficiency +0.12 Weak
TEN FG 90.0% / NET PUNT 45.6 | PIT 76.5% / 46.3
PITA Third-down efficiency +0.11 Weak
TEN OFF 34.8% / DEF 40.0% | PIT 32.9% / 32.5% | PBP 69%/44%/14% | 59%/23%/32%
PITA Schedule strength +0.06 Weak
TEN 43% opp wins · PIT 46%
TENH Explosive-play differential +0.04 Weak
4% / 5% allowed | 6% / 8% allowed
PITA Run-game matchup +0.01 Weak
TEN 3.8 rush Y/A / 3.8 allowed | PIT 4.6 / 4.0 | PBP 87% stuff avoided | 77% stuff avoided
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