Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Philadelphia Eagles face San Francisco 49ers in Week 17 at Levi's Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Philadelphia Eagles enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 17.7 points scored and 22.8 allowed. Their current streak is 4 losses.
San Francisco 49ers enter with a 6-0 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 29.5 points scored and 18.3 allowed. Their current streak is 6 wins.
The scoring matchup puts Philadelphia Eagles’s 17.7 points per game against a San Francisco 49ers defense allowing 18.3. In the other direction, San Francisco 49ers average 29.5 against Philadelphia Eagles’s 22.8 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Philadelphia Eagles have injury designations to monitor: Saquon Barkley (RB) — Questionable; Nolan Smith Jr. (LB) — Questionable; Michael Carter II (CB) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
San Francisco 49ers have injury designations to monitor: Nick Bosa (DE) — Questionable; Mike Evans (WR) — Questionable; Marques Sigle (S) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward San Francisco 49ers are Early-down efficiency; Record quality.
The strongest model adjustments toward Philadelphia Eagles are Game-script tendencies; Key injury availability.
The current model leans toward SF at 63.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Philadelphia Eagles 2-4
- 🏈 Record: San Francisco 49ers 6-0
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
SFH Early-down efficiency +1.2 Strong
52% / 41% allowed | 37% / 42% allowed
SFH Record quality +1.0 Very Strong
SF 6-0 · PHI 2-4
SFH Recent form +1.0 Very Strong
SF W6 · PHI L4
SFH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
SF home field | SF 76 days / PHI 77 days
SFH OL vs DL matchup +0.77 Moderate
SF OL sack 2.8% / DEF sack 6.6% | PHI 7.4% / 3.6%
SFH Explosive-play differential +0.77 Strong
6% / 4% allowed | 4% / 5% allowed
PHIA Game-script tendencies +0.68 Strong
56% neutral pass / 57 plays | 56% / 55
PHIA Key injury availability +0.50 Weak
SF 1 unavailable starters · PHI 0
SFH Raw scoring differential +0.45 Strong
SF 29.5 PPG · PHI 17.7 PPG | SF 18.3 PA/G · PHI 22.8 PA/G
SFH Starting QB efficiency +0.44 Weak
Brock Purdy (2026) 69.6% CMP / 8.5 Y/A / 8.2% TD / 1.2% INT / 118.1 RATE · Tanner McKee (2026) 57.8% CMP / 4.8 Y/A / 2.2% TD / 0.0% INT / 77.5 RATE
SFH Run-game matchup +0.34 Weak
SF 4.6 rush Y/A / 3.6 allowed | PHI 3.7 / 4.0 | PBP 84% stuff avoided | 73% stuff avoided
SFH Red-zone TD efficiency +0.22 Weak
90% / 50% allowed | 63% / 54% allowed
PHIA Schedule strength +0.20 Moderate
SF 35% opp wins · PHI 45%
SFH Pass defense +0.18 Weak
SF 5.5 net Y/A / 65.9% CMP / 88.4 RATE | PHI 6.5 / 60.4% / 88.2
PHIA Special teams efficiency +0.12 Weak
SF FG 66.7% / NET PUNT 45.5 | PHI 100.0% / 44.1
SFH Third-down efficiency +0.09 Weak
SF OFF 51.5% / DEF 38.6% | PHI 37.3% / 38.9% | PBP 64%/45%/40% | 47%/61%/27%
SFH Turnover differential +0.07 Weak
SF 1.0 GIVE / 1.2 TAKE | PHI 0.8 / 0.5
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