Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Las Vegas Raiders face Arizona Cardinals in Week 17 at State Farm Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Las Vegas Raiders enter with a 3-3 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 27.0 points scored and 27.0 allowed. Their current streak is 3 losses.
Arizona Cardinals enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 21.0 points scored and 29.7 allowed.
The scoring matchup puts Las Vegas Raiders’s 27.0 points per game against a Arizona Cardinals defense allowing 29.7. In the other direction, Arizona Cardinals average 21.0 against Las Vegas Raiders’s 27.0 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Las Vegas Raiders have injury designations to monitor: Tonka Hemingway (DT) — Questionable; Dont'e Thornton Jr. (WR) — IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Arizona Cardinals have injury designations to monitor: Andrew Wingard (S) — Questionable; Wydett Williams Jr. (S) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Arizona Cardinals are Home field / environment; Early-down efficiency.
The strongest model adjustments toward Las Vegas Raiders are Starting QB efficiency; Explosive-play differential.
The current model sees a closely balanced matchup with no strong projected edge.
- 🏈 Record: Las Vegas Raiders 3-3
- 🏈 Record: Arizona Cardinals 2-4
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
ARIH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
ARI home field | ARI 77 days / LV 77 days
ARIH Early-down efficiency +0.77 Moderate
47% / 45% allowed | 41% / 48% allowed
LVA Starting QB efficiency +0.73 Moderate
Jacoby Brissett (2026) 66.7% CMP / 5.7 Y/A / 3.8% TD / 2.6% INT / 83.4 RATE · Kirk Cousins (2026) 63.4% CMP / 7.4 Y/A / 6.6% TD / 2.3% INT / 98.0 RATE
ARIH Recent form +0.60 Strong
ARI W1 · LV L3
LVA Explosive-play differential +0.40 Moderate
3% / 6% allowed | 6% / 7% allowed
LVA Record quality +0.33 Moderate
ARI 2-4 · LV 3-3
LVA Game-script tendencies +0.32 Moderate
56% neutral pass / 66 plays | 58% / 62
LVA Raw scoring differential +0.28 Moderate
ARI 21.0 PPG · LV 27.0 PPG | ARI 29.7 PA/G · LV 27.0 PA/G
LVA Pass defense +0.21 Weak
ARI 7.4 net Y/A / 65.7% CMP / 116.5 RATE | LV 6.8 / 63.7% / 101.8
ARIH Run-game matchup +0.19 Weak
ARI 3.7 rush Y/A / 4.4 allowed | LV 3.0 / 4.9 | PBP 77% stuff avoided | 70% stuff avoided
LVA Special teams efficiency +0.19 Moderate
ARI FG 87.5% / NET PUNT 40.5 | LV 93.3% / 46.8
LVA Red-zone TD efficiency +0.15 Weak
48% / 76% allowed | 57% / 74% allowed
LVA OL vs DL matchup +0.07 Weak
ARI OL sack 4.9% / DEF sack 7.5% | LV 3.5% / 7.2%
ARIH Schedule strength +0.06 Weak
ARI 50% opp wins · LV 47%
ARIH Third-down efficiency +0.06 Weak
ARI OFF 39.3% / DEF 41.8% | LV 42.3% / 41.3% | PBP 69%/42%/23% | 60%/50%/33%
LVA Turnover differential +0.02 Weak
ARI 1.0 GIVE / 1.3 TAKE | LV 1.3 / 1.7
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