Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Minnesota Vikings face New York Jets in Week 17 at MetLife Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Minnesota Vikings enter with a 5-0 record across 5 completed games in this competition phase. They average 21.8 points scored and 12.8 allowed. Their current streak is 5 wins.
New York Jets enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 18.7 points scored and 20.3 allowed.
The scoring matchup puts Minnesota Vikings’s 21.8 points per game against a New York Jets defense allowing 20.3. In the other direction, New York Jets average 18.7 against Minnesota Vikings’s 12.8 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Minnesota Vikings have injury designations to monitor: Jordan Addison (WR) — Questionable; Christian Darrisaw (OT) — Questionable; T.J. Hockenson (TE) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
New York Jets have injury designations to monitor: Breece Hall (RB) — Questionable; Kiko Mauigoa (LB) — Questionable; Adonai Mitchell (WR) — Doubtful. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward New York Jets are Home field / environment; Starting QB efficiency.
The strongest model adjustments toward Minnesota Vikings are Record quality; Recent form.
The current model sees a closely balanced matchup with no strong projected edge.
- 🏈 Record: Minnesota Vikings 5-0
- 🏈 Record: New York Jets 2-4
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
MINA Record quality +1.0 Very Strong
NYJ 2-4 · MIN 5-0
NYJH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
NYJ home field | NYJ 77 days / MIN 84 days
MINA Recent form +0.90 Very Strong
NYJ L1 · MIN W5
NYJH Starting QB efficiency +0.78 Moderate
Geno Smith (2026) 68.9% CMP / 7.5 Y/A / 4.0% TD / 0.6% INT / 101.8 RATE · Kyler Murray (2026) 68.3% CMP / 6.6 Y/A / 2.0% TD / 2.0% INT / 84.7 RATE
NYJH Game-script tendencies +0.75 Strong
54% neutral pass / 55 plays | 52% / 58
MINA Red-zone TD efficiency +0.50 Strong
31% / 50% allowed | 50% / 25% allowed
NYJH Schedule strength +0.41 Very Strong
NYJ 57% opp wins · MIN 37%
NYJH Early-down efficiency +0.36 Weak
48% / 44% allowed | 33% / 34% allowed
MINA Pass defense +0.35 Weak
NYJ 5.3 net Y/A / 61.5% CMP / 93.1 RATE | MIN 5.0 / 53.2% / 62.9
MINA Third-down efficiency +0.17 Weak
NYJ OFF 35.1% / DEF 37.7% | MIN 38.0% / 22.2% | PBP 60%/41%/25% | 80%/48%/21%
MINA OL vs DL matchup +0.14 Weak
NYJ OL sack 9.7% / DEF sack 8.1% | MIN 9.7% / 9.8%
MINA Raw scoring differential +0.12 Weak
NYJ 18.7 PPG · MIN 21.8 PPG | NYJ 20.3 PA/G · MIN 12.8 PA/G
MINA Special teams efficiency +0.11 Weak
NYJ FG 92.3% / NET PUNT 42.3 | MIN 100.0% / 41.0
NYJH Explosive-play differential +0.10 Weak
5% / 5% allowed | 5% / 5% allowed
MINA Turnover differential +0.08 Weak
NYJ 0.7 GIVE / 1.3 TAKE | MIN 0.8 / 2.0
MINA Run-game matchup +0.02 Weak
NYJ 3.6 rush Y/A / 4.2 allowed | MIN 3.8 / 4.0 | PBP 77% stuff avoided | 79% stuff avoided
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