Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Los Angeles Rams face Las Vegas Raiders in Week 7 at Allegiant Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Los Angeles Rams enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 22.5 points scored and 23.0 allowed. Their current streak is 2 losses.
Las Vegas Raiders enter with a 3-3 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 27.0 points scored and 27.0 allowed. Their current streak is 3 losses.
The scoring matchup puts Los Angeles Rams’s 22.5 points per game against a Las Vegas Raiders defense allowing 27.0. In the other direction, Las Vegas Raiders average 27.0 against Los Angeles Rams’s 23.0 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
The opening market has Los Angeles Rams favored by 7.5 points and a total of 46.5 points. These are market expectations, separate from the model’s projected lean.
Los Angeles Rams have injury designations to monitor: Trent McDuffie (CB) — Questionable; Justin Dedich (G) — IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Las Vegas Raiders have injury designations to monitor: Tonka Hemingway (DT) — Questionable; Dont'e Thornton Jr. (WR) — IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Las Vegas Raiders are Home field / environment; Game-script tendencies.
The strongest model adjustments toward Los Angeles Rams are Early-down efficiency; Run-game matchup.
The current model leans toward LAR at 67.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Los Angeles Rams 2-4
- 🏈 Record: Las Vegas Raiders 3-3
- 📈 Market (opening): Los Angeles Rams favored by 7.5 points; a total of 46.5 points
- 🔮 Projected score: LAR 27, LV 22
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
LARA Early-down efficiency +1.2 Very Strong
41% / 48% allowed | 51% / 44% allowed
LVH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
LV home field | LV 7 days / LAR 7 days
LVH Game-script tendencies +0.74 Strong
58% neutral pass / 62 plays | 60% / 65
LARA Run-game matchup +0.71 Strong
LV 3.0 rush Y/A / 4.9 allowed | LAR 4.6 / 4.4 | PBP 70% stuff avoided | 84% stuff avoided
LARA Explosive-play differential +0.60 Moderate
6% / 7% allowed | 6% / 4% allowed
LARA Pass defense +0.59 Moderate
LV 6.8 net Y/A / 63.7% CMP / 101.8 RATE | LAR 5.3 / 57.5% / 77.2
LARA Red-zone TD efficiency +0.46 Strong
57% / 74% allowed | 63% / 50% allowed
LVH OL vs DL matchup +0.40 Weak
LV OL sack 3.5% / DEF sack 7.2% | LAR 3.8% / 4.2%
LVH Special teams efficiency +0.36 Strong
LV FG 93.3% / NET PUNT 46.8 | LAR 60.0% / 41.5
LVH Starting QB efficiency +0.36 Weak
Kirk Cousins (2026) 63.4% CMP / 7.4 Y/A / 6.6% TD / 2.3% INT / 98.0 RATE · Matthew Stafford (2026) 65.9% CMP / 7.2 Y/A / 4.4% TD / 2.4% INT / 91.7 RATE
LARA Third-down efficiency +0.34 Moderate
LV OFF 42.3% / DEF 41.3% | LAR 44.0% / 32.9% | PBP 60%/50%/33% | 73%/38%/22%
LVH Record quality +0.33 Moderate
LV 3-3 · LAR 2-4
LARA Schedule strength +0.31 Strong
LV 47% opp wins · LAR 63%
LVH Turnover differential +0.16 Moderate
LV 1.3 GIVE / 1.7 TAKE | LAR 1.5 / 1.0
LARA Recent form +0.15 Weak
LV L3 · LAR L2
LVH Raw scoring differential +0.07 Weak
LV 27.0 PPG · LAR 22.5 PPG | LV 27.0 PA/G · LAR 23.0 PA/G
Betting Lines DraftKings
🔍 Key Suspects
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
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