NHL Final Intelligence

UTA 7-3-0
3 – 5
FINAL
SEA 6-3-1

Utah Mammoth 3, Seattle Kraken 5 β€” Recap

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πŸ“°Game Recap

Seattle Kraken defeated the Utah Mammoth 5-3 on Tuesday, overcoming a significant shot differential and a third-period comeback bid. The Kraken were outshot 36-23, with Philipp Grubauer making 32 saves on 35 shots to secure the win. SportsFBI's model had favored a Utah victory at 67% before the game. For Utah, Karel Vejmelka stopped 18 of 22 shots. Following the result, Seattle's record stands at 6-3-1, while Utah's is 7-3-0.

Seattle established an early lead in the first period, with Jordan Eberle scoring at 3:38, assisted by Ryker Evans. Utah's Vincent Trocheck tied the game at 17:57, assisted by Kailer Yamamoto. However, Matty Beniers responded quickly for Seattle just 26 seconds later, putting them back ahead 2-1 with assists from Kaapo Kakko and Berkly Catton. Brandon Montour extended Seattle's lead to 3-1 early in the second period, scoring at 2:23 with assists from Eberle and Vince Dunn.

The Mammoth mounted a comeback in the third period behind Logan Cooley, who scored twice. Cooley's first goal came 27 seconds into the period, assisted by Mikhail Sergachev and Clayton Keller, narrowing the deficit to 3-2. He then tied the game at 3-3 at 7:42, again assisted by Sergachev, along with MacKenzie Weegar. Seattle regained the lead at 14:35 when Mackie Samoskevich scored, assisted by Bobby McMann and Montour. Frederick Gaudreau sealed the Kraken victory with a goal at 19:00.

#SeattleKraken #UtahMammoth #NHLRecap #LoganCooley #PhilippGrubauer

How the Prediction Fared

⚑ Upset

Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Utah Mammoth (-192, 66% implied) over the Seattle Kraken. The underdog won.

⚑ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Utah Mammoth (67% confidence). It gave a 36% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 2 goals.

πŸ’΅ Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Puck line Β· UTA -1.5 SEA covered Won by 2
Total Β· 6.5 Over 8 combined
Moneyline UTA -178 Β· SEA +146 UTA favored
Line movementOpening line β†’ close
Puck line (SEA) +1.5+1.5 No move
Total 6.56.5 No move
Moneyline (SEA) +134+146 +12

Standouts

Top Scorer Β· UTA
2 G, 0 A, 2 PTS, 2 SOG Β· 16:30 TOI
Goals Β· SEA
1 G, 1 A, 2 PTS, 5 SOG Β· 17:19 TOI
Season highs
MacKenzie Weegar Β· Season-high 6 shots on goalLogan Cooley Β· Season-high 2 goals

Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.

πŸ“Š Game Flow

UTA 0 largest lead Never led Β· 2-0 run, P3 0:27–P3 7:42
SEA 2 largest lead P2 2:23 (UTA 1, SEA 3) Β· 2-0 run, P1 18:23–P2 2:23
Swings 0 lead changes Tied 2 times
Scoring summary
  • P1 3:38 Jordan Eberle (Ryker Evans) SEA Β· slap shot Β· UTA 0, SEA 1
  • P1 17:57 Vincent Trocheck (Kailer Yamamoto) UTA Β· Power play Β· snap shot Β· UTA 1, SEA 1
  • P1 18:23 Matty Beniers (Kaapo Kakko, Berkly Catton) SEA Β· Power play Β· deflected shot Β· UTA 1, SEA 2
  • P2 2:23 Brandon Montour (Jordan Eberle, Vince Dunn) SEA Β· Power play Β· slap shot Β· UTA 1, SEA 3
  • P3 0:27 Logan Cooley (Mikhail Sergachev, Clayton Keller) UTA Β· Power play Β· tip-in shot Β· UTA 2, SEA 3
  • P3 7:42 Logan Cooley (Mikhail Sergachev, MacKenzie Weegar) UTA Β· slap shot Β· UTA 3, SEA 3
  • P3 14:35 Mackie Samoskevich (Bobby McMann, Brandon Montour) SEA Β· wrist shot Β· UTA 3, SEA 4
  • P3 19:00 Frederick Gaudreau SEA Β· Empty net Β· wrist shot Β· UTA 3, SEA 5

Linescore

123 T
UTA 102 3
SEA 212 5

Shots on goal: UTA 35, SEA 23

πŸ“‹ Team Stats

UTASEA
36Shots on goal25
63Shot attempts58
40Faceoff wins31
30Hits14
12Blocked shots18
2Power-play goals2
3Takeaways2
16Giveaways15
8Penalty minutes6
83.3%Save %91.7%
Shots on goal by period
TeamP1P2P3Total
UTA8141436
SEA1110425

🎯 Shot Map

Utah Mammoth3 G Β· 51 attempts
Kailer Yamamoto: saved (wrist)Dmitri Simashev: saved (wrist)Vincent Trocheck: saved (wrist)Nick DeSimone: saved (wrist)Kevin Stenlund: saved (wrist)Mikhail Sergachev: saved (wrist)Logan Cooley: missed the netDylan Guenther: missed the netAnders Lee: missed the netVincent Trocheck: goal (snap)Daniil But: missed the netDylan Guenther: saved (wrist)Nick DeSimone: missed the netDylan Guenther: missed the netMikhail Sergachev: missed the netKailer Yamamoto: saved (tip-in)Kailer Yamamoto: saved (wrist)Anders Lee: saved (bat)Daniil But: saved (wrist)MacKenzie Weegar: saved (wrist)MacKenzie Weegar: saved (slap)Lawson Crouse: missed the netLawson Crouse: saved (backhand)Clayton Keller: missed the netMacKenzie Weegar: saved (slap)Daniil But: missed the netVincent Trocheck: saved (wrist)Clayton Keller: saved (slap)Nick Schmaltz: saved (snap)Kailer Yamamoto: saved (wrist)Jack McBain: saved (bat)Vincent Trocheck: missed the netDylan Guenther: saved (slap)Logan Cooley: goal (tip-in)MacKenzie Weegar: saved (wrist)Clayton Keller: saved (slap)Barrett Hayton: saved (wrist)Lawson Crouse: missed the netLawson Crouse: saved (wrap-around)Nick Schmaltz: missed the netBarrett Hayton: saved (tip-in)Barrett Hayton: missed the netNate Schmidt: missed the netAndrew Peeke: saved (wrist)Logan Cooley: goal (slap)Daniil But: saved (wrist)MacKenzie Weegar: saved (slap)Mikhail Sergachev: saved (snap)Vincent Trocheck: saved (tip-in)Barrett Hayton: saved (wrist)MacKenzie Weegar: saved (snap)
  • 3Goals6% of attempts
  • 33Saved65% of attempts
  • 15Missed the net29% of attempts
Seattle Kraken5 G Β· 39 attempts
Kaapo Kakko: saved (bat)Josh Mahura: saved (wrist)Ryan Winterton: missed the netBrandon Montour: saved (backhand)Jordan Eberle: goal (slap)Ville Ottavainen: saved (wrist)Mackie Samoskevich: missed the netJared McCann: saved (snap)Jared McCann: missed the netShane Wright: saved (wrist)Berkly Catton: saved (backhand)Ryan Winterton: saved (wrist)Jordan Eberle: saved (deflected)Matty Beniers: goal (deflected)Jordan Eberle: saved (deflected)Vince Dunn: missed the netVince Dunn: saved (wrist)Brandon Montour: missed the netBrandon Montour: goal (slap)Vince Dunn: missed the netJordan Eberle: saved (tip-in)Kaapo Kakko: missed the netKaapo Kakko: saved (wrist)Matty Beniers: missed the netVille Ottavainen: saved (wrist)Mackie Samoskevich: saved (wrist)Jordan Eberle: saved (wrist)Ryan Winterton: saved (wrist)Ryker Evans: saved (wrist)Adam Larsson: missed the netJosh Mahura: missed the netShane Wright: missed the netBobby McMann: saved (wrist)Mackie Samoskevich: goal (wrist)Mackie Samoskevich: saved (backhand)Adam Larsson: missed the netFrederick Gaudreau: missed the netFrederick Gaudreau: goal (wrist)Jared McCann: missed the net
  • 5Goals13% of attempts
  • 20Saved51% of attempts
  • 14Missed the net36% of attempts

● goal (large) Β· ● saved Β· βœ• missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.

πŸ’ Box Score

UTA skatersG goals Β· A assists Β· P points Β· SOG shots on goal Β· TOI time on ice
PlayerPosGAP+/-SOGHITBLKTOI
Logan Cooley C 202-121017:25
Mikhail Sergachev D 022-120126:58
Vincent Trocheck C 101-146017:39
MacKenzie Weegar D 011062222:36
Clayton Keller R 011-220120:09
Kailer Yamamoto R 011041013:44
Nate Schmidt D 000000020:13
Dylan Guenther R 000-120120:10
Andrew Peeke D 000-110119:48
Nick Schmaltz C 000-211017:49
Barrett Hayton C 000031214:30
Dmitri Simashev D 000-112114:26
Kevin Stenlund C 000011013:16
Lawson Crouse L 000-122112:52
Jack McBain C 000019012:16
Anders Lee L 000013212:05
Nick DeSimone D 000010010:22
Daniil But L 000021009:34
UTA goaliesG goals Β· A assists Β· P points Β· SOG shots on goal Β· TOI time on ice
PlayerDecSVSASV%GATOI
Karel Vejmelka L 202483.3458:14
SEA skatersG goals Β· A assists Β· P points Β· SOG shots on goal Β· TOI time on ice
PlayerPosGAP+/-SOGHITBLKTOI
Brandon Montour D 112+222226:38
Jordan Eberle R 112+151118:19
Matty Beniers C 101+110118:42
Frederick Gaudreau C 101010115:25
Mackie Samoskevich R 101+130112:44
Vince Dunn D 011010225:53
Ryker Evans D 011+212222:33
Bobby McMann C 011+212017:02
Berkly Catton C 011010014:26
Kaapo Kakko R 011021013:22
Adam Larsson D 000003122:26
Jared McCann L 000+110016:42
Chandler Stephenson C 000+200016:37
Ben Meyers C 000-101213:07
Ryan Winterton C 000-121011:58
Shane Wright C 000010111:34
Josh Mahura D 000010310:18
Ville Ottavainen D 000021107:51
SEA goaliesG goals Β· A assists Β· P points Β· SOG shots on goal Β· TOI time on ice
PlayerDecSVSASV%GATOI
Philipp Grubauer W 333691.7359:41

🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines

PlayerPropLineActualResult
Jordan Eberle SEA Points0.52 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Goals0.51 Over
Shots on goal1.55 Over
Mikhail Sergachev UTA Points0.52 Over
Assists0.52 Over
Shots on goal1.52 Over
Brandon Montour SEA Points0.52 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Shots on goal2.52 Under
Logan Cooley UTA Points0.52 Over
Assists0.50 Under
Goals0.52 Over
Shots on goal1.52 Over
Clayton Keller UTA Points0.51 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Goals0.50 Under
Shots on goal2.52 Under
Matty Beniers SEA Points0.51 Over
Assists0.50 Under
Goals0.51 Over
Shots on goal1.51 Under

The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.

βš”οΈ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series UTA 0 – 1 SEA
Last 4 meetings Β· since 2025-26 UTA 3 – 1 SEA
Previous meetingsOpen the recap
After this game
Utah Mammoth 7-4-0 L1 L10 6-4-0 Next game recap: vs TBL Β· Sat, Oct 24
Seattle Kraken 7-3-1 W2 L10 6-3-1 Next game recap: vs MIN Β· Sat, Oct 24

πŸ” Key Suspects Results

7 of 17 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

UTA — Away
Kailer Yamamoto Kailer Yamamoto RW Points Β· DraftKings 0.5 OVER HIT Actual 1
Dylan Guenther Dylan Guenther RW Shots on Goal Β· FanDuel 5+ MILESTONE MISS Actual 2
Andrew Peeke Andrew Peeke D Shots on Goal Β· DraftKings 1.5 UNDER HIT Actual 1
Clayton Keller Clayton Keller RW Goals Β· FanDuel 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
MacKenzie Weegar MacKenzie Weegar D Assists Β· DraftKings 0.5 UNDER MISS Actual 1
Logan Cooley Logan Cooley C Shots on Goal Β· BetMGM 1.5 UNDER MISS Actual 2
Nick Schmaltz Nick Schmaltz C Shots on Goal Β· FanDuel 2.5 OVER MISS Actual 1
Lawson Crouse Lawson Crouse LW Shots on Goal Β· DraftKings 1.5 UNDER MISS Actual 2
SEA — Home
Chandler Stephenson Chandler Stephenson C Points Β· BetMGM 0.5 OVER MISS Actual 0
Mackie Samoskevich Mackie Samoskevich RW Anytime Goal Β· FanDuel 1+ MILESTONE HIT Actual 1
Frederick Gaudreau Frederick Gaudreau C Anytime Goal Β· FanDuel 1+ MILESTONE HIT Actual 1
Brandon Montour Brandon Montour D Points Β· BetMGM 0.5 UNDER MISS Actual 2
Kaapo Kakko Kaapo Kakko RW Points Β· DraftKings 0.5 OVER HIT Actual 1
Bobby McMann Bobby McMann C Shots on Goal Β· FanDuel 2.5 OVER MISS Actual 1
Ryan Winterton Ryan Winterton C Shots on Goal Β· BetMGM 1.5 OVER HIT Actual 2
Jared McCann Jared McCann LW Shots on Goal Β· BetMGM 1.5 OVER MISS Actual 1
Vince Dunn Vince Dunn D Points Β· BetMGM 0.5 UNDER MISS Actual 1

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