NHL Final Intelligence
Utah Mammoth 3, Seattle Kraken 5 β Recap
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Game Recap
Seattle Kraken defeated the Utah Mammoth 5-3 on Tuesday, overcoming a significant shot differential and a third-period comeback bid. The Kraken were outshot 36-23, with Philipp Grubauer making 32 saves on 35 shots to secure the win. SportsFBI's model had favored a Utah victory at 67% before the game. For Utah, Karel Vejmelka stopped 18 of 22 shots. Following the result, Seattle's record stands at 6-3-1, while Utah's is 7-3-0.
Seattle established an early lead in the first period, with Jordan Eberle scoring at 3:38, assisted by Ryker Evans. Utah's Vincent Trocheck tied the game at 17:57, assisted by Kailer Yamamoto. However, Matty Beniers responded quickly for Seattle just 26 seconds later, putting them back ahead 2-1 with assists from Kaapo Kakko and Berkly Catton. Brandon Montour extended Seattle's lead to 3-1 early in the second period, scoring at 2:23 with assists from Eberle and Vince Dunn.
The Mammoth mounted a comeback in the third period behind Logan Cooley, who scored twice. Cooley's first goal came 27 seconds into the period, assisted by Mikhail Sergachev and Clayton Keller, narrowing the deficit to 3-2. He then tied the game at 3-3 at 7:42, again assisted by Sergachev, along with MacKenzie Weegar. Seattle regained the lead at 14:35 when Mackie Samoskevich scored, assisted by Bobby McMann and Montour. Frederick Gaudreau sealed the Kraken victory with a goal at 19:00.
How the Prediction Fared
Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Utah Mammoth (-192, 66% implied) over the Seattle Kraken. The underdog won.
SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Utah Mammoth (67% confidence). It gave a 36% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 2 goals.
π΅ Betting Result FanDuel closing line
Standouts
Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.
π Game Flow
- P1 3:38 Jordan Eberle (Ryker Evans) SEA Β· slap shot Β· UTA 0, SEA 1
- P1 17:57 Vincent Trocheck (Kailer Yamamoto) UTA Β· Power play Β· snap shot Β· UTA 1, SEA 1
- P1 18:23 Matty Beniers (Kaapo Kakko, Berkly Catton) SEA Β· Power play Β· deflected shot Β· UTA 1, SEA 2
- P2 2:23 Brandon Montour (Jordan Eberle, Vince Dunn) SEA Β· Power play Β· slap shot Β· UTA 1, SEA 3
- P3 0:27 Logan Cooley (Mikhail Sergachev, Clayton Keller) UTA Β· Power play Β· tip-in shot Β· UTA 2, SEA 3
- P3 7:42 Logan Cooley (Mikhail Sergachev, MacKenzie Weegar) UTA Β· slap shot Β· UTA 3, SEA 3
- P3 14:35 Mackie Samoskevich (Bobby McMann, Brandon Montour) SEA Β· wrist shot Β· UTA 3, SEA 4
- P3 19:00 Frederick Gaudreau SEA Β· Empty net Β· wrist shot Β· UTA 3, SEA 5
π Team Stats
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTA | 8 | 14 | 14 | 36 |
| SEA | 11 | 10 | 4 | 25 |
π― Shot Map
- 3Goals6% of attempts
- 33Saved65% of attempts
- 15Missed the net29% of attempts
- 5Goals13% of attempts
- 20Saved51% of attempts
- 14Missed the net36% of attempts
β goal (large) Β· β saved Β· β missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.
π Box Score
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Cooley | C | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17:25 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26:58 |
| Vincent Trocheck | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 17:39 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 22:36 |
| Clayton Keller | R | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20:09 |
| Kailer Yamamoto | R | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:44 |
| Nate Schmidt | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:13 |
| Dylan Guenther | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20:10 |
| Andrew Peeke | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:48 |
| Nick Schmaltz | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17:49 |
| Barrett Hayton | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:30 |
| Dmitri Simashev | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14:26 |
| Kevin Stenlund | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13:16 |
| Lawson Crouse | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12:52 |
| Jack McBain | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 12:16 |
| Anders Lee | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12:05 |
| Nick DeSimone | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:22 |
| Daniil But | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 09:34 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karel Vejmelka | L | 20 | 24 | 83.3 | 4 | 58:14 |
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Montour | D | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 26:38 |
| Jordan Eberle | R | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:19 |
| Matty Beniers | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:42 |
| Frederick Gaudreau | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:25 |
| Mackie Samoskevich | R | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:44 |
| Vince Dunn | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25:53 |
| Ryker Evans | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 22:33 |
| Bobby McMann | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17:02 |
| Berkly Catton | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:26 |
| Kaapo Kakko | R | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13:22 |
| Adam Larsson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 22:26 |
| Jared McCann | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:42 |
| Chandler Stephenson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:37 |
| Ben Meyers | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13:07 |
| Ryan Winterton | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:58 |
| Shane Wright | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:34 |
| Josh Mahura | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10:18 |
| Ville Ottavainen | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 07:51 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philipp Grubauer | W | 33 | 36 | 91.7 | 3 | 59:41 |
ποΈ Player Props Results Consensus lines
| Player | Prop | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Eberle SEA | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 5 | Over | |
| Mikhail Sergachev UTA | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Brandon Montour SEA | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 2 | Under | |
| Logan Cooley UTA | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Clayton Keller UTA | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 2 | Under | |
| Matty Beniers SEA | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 1 | Under |
The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.
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