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MLB Matchup Intelligence

PHI vs
BOS

Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox

May 13, 2026 ยท 6:45 PM ET ยท Fenway Park
PHI 88-74  ยท  BOS 87-75

๐Ÿ Final: PHI 1, BOS 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Boston Red Sox
Confidence 72%
Projected Score BOS 4 ยท PHI 1
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BOS Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Key injuries PHI (Luis Arraez) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS SP quality edge (FIP 3.30 vs 5.65, PF 1.07) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS PHI SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Defensive edge (dWAR 7.5) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Recent run diff (+1.0 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI SP road mastery (ERA 4.98 R vs 6.16 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

PHI โ€” Away RHP
Andrew Painter
Andrew Painter
ERA5.40
WHIP1.41
FIP4.56
K/98.2
K/BB4.8
Road ERA: 4.98
vs
BOS โ€” Home RHP
Sonny Gray
Sonny Gray
ERA2.72
WHIP1.15
FIP3.38
K/97.9
K/BB5.5
Home ERA: 2.72

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

PHI โ€” Away
  1. 1 Kyle Schwarber DH
  2. 2 Bryce Harper 1B
  3. 3 Adolis Garcia RF
  4. 4 Brandon Marsh LF
  5. 5 Alec Bohm 3B
  6. 6 Bryson Stott 2B
  7. 7 J.T. Realmuto C
  8. 8 Justin Crawford CF
  9. 9 Edmundo Sosa SS
BOS โ€” Home
  1. 1 Jarren Duran CF
  2. 2 Mickey Gasper DH
  3. 3 Wilyer Abreu RF
  4. 4 Willson Contreras 1B
  5. 5 Masataka Yoshida LF
  6. 6 Trevor Story SS
  7. 7 Marcelo Mayer 2B
  8. 8 Connor Wong C
  9. 9 Caleb Durbin 3B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

PHI Away BOS Home
Team OPS 0.717 0.714
Bullpen FIP 4.07 3.55
Run Diff / 10G +1.3 +0.3
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -3

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
PHI +1.5 (+564)
BOS -1.5 (-1060)
Total (O/U)
Over 4.5 (+553)
Under 4.5 (-1020)
Moneyline
PHI +980
BOS -3400

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

PHI โ€” Away
Andrew Painter Andrew Painter SP
Outs
14.5
59 ยท OVER
BOS โ€” Home
Sonny Gray Sonny Gray SP
Outs
15.5
64 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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