Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Green Bay Packers face New Orleans Saints in Week 13 at Caesars Superdome. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Green Bay Packers enter with a 4-2 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 21.2 points scored and 20.8 allowed. Their current streak is 3 wins.
New Orleans Saints enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 25.3 points scored and 29.7 allowed.
The scoring matchup puts Green Bay Packers’s 21.2 points per game against a New Orleans Saints defense allowing 29.7. In the other direction, New Orleans Saints average 25.3 against Green Bay Packers’s 20.8 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Green Bay Packers have injury designations to monitor: Aaron Banks (G) — Questionable; Benjamin St-Juste (CB) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
New Orleans Saints have injury designations to monitor: Kaden Elliss (LB) — Questionable; Kool-Aid McKinstry (CB) — Questionable; Quincy Riley (CB) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward New Orleans Saints are Home field / environment; Red-zone TD efficiency.
The strongest model adjustments toward Green Bay Packers are Explosive-play differential; Record quality.
The current model sees a closely balanced matchup with no strong projected edge.
- 🏈 Record: Green Bay Packers 4-2
- 🏈 Record: New Orleans Saints 2-4
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
GBA Explosive-play differential +1.1 Very Strong
4% / 7% allowed | 8% / 4% allowed
NOH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
NO home field | NO 49 days / GB 49 days
GBA Record quality +0.67 Strong
NO 2-4 · GB 4-2
GBA Pass defense +0.66 Moderate
NO 6.7 net Y/A / 66.5% CMP / 97.8 RATE | GB 5.1 / 64.5% / 73.9
NOH Red-zone TD efficiency +0.63 Very Strong
84% / 62% allowed | 50% / 75% allowed
NOH Game-script tendencies +0.32 Moderate
56% neutral pass / 64 plays | 57% / 59
GBA Recent form +0.30 Moderate
NO W1 · GB W3
GBA Early-down efficiency +0.29 Weak
39% / 51% allowed | 40% / 44% allowed
NOH Schedule strength +0.28 Strong
NO 61% opp wins · GB 47%
NOH Run-game matchup +0.24 Weak
NO 3.8 rush Y/A / 4.8 allowed | GB 2.9 / 4.0 | PBP 83% stuff avoided | 69% stuff avoided
GBA Special teams efficiency +0.24 Moderate
NO FG 70.0% / NET PUNT 41.2 | GB 76.9% / 47.3
GBA Starting QB efficiency +0.22 Weak
Tyler Shough (2026) 65.1% CMP / 6.1 Y/A / 5.1% TD / 2.1% INT / 90.1 RATE · Jordan Love (2026) 59.7% CMP / 7.5 Y/A / 4.9% TD / 1.8% INT / 91.8 RATE
NOH Third-down efficiency +0.20 Weak
NO OFF 42.5% / DEF 44.6% | GB 35.5% / 43.4% | PBP 77%/42%/29% | 60%/36%/21%
GBA Turnover differential +0.18 Moderate
NO 2.0 GIVE / 1.5 TAKE | GB 1.2 / 1.8
NOH OL vs DL matchup +0.10 Weak
NO OL sack 5.2% / DEF sack 7.0% | GB 5.4% / 6.6%
GBA Raw scoring differential +0.10 Weak
NO 25.3 PPG · GB 21.2 PPG | NO 29.7 PA/G · GB 20.8 PA/G
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