Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Houston Texans face Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 13 at Acrisure Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Houston Texans enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 24.0 points scored and 23.8 allowed. Their current streak is 2 wins.
Pittsburgh Steelers enter with a 4-2 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 22.8 points scored and 21.3 allowed. Their current streak is 2 wins.
The scoring matchup puts Houston Texans’s 24.0 points per game against a Pittsburgh Steelers defense allowing 21.3. In the other direction, Pittsburgh Steelers average 22.8 against Houston Texans’s 23.8 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Houston Texans have injury designations to monitor: Reed Blankenship (S) — Questionable; David Montgomery (RB) — Questionable; Jalen Pitre (S) — Doubtful. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Pittsburgh Steelers have injury designations to monitor: Ben Skowronek (WR) — Questionable; Brandin Echols (CB) — Questionable; DeShon Elliott (S) — IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Pittsburgh Steelers are Home field / environment; Record quality.
The strongest model adjustments toward Houston Texans are Starting QB efficiency; Early-down efficiency.
The current model sees a closely balanced matchup with no strong projected edge.
- 🏈 Record: Houston Texans 2-4
- 🏈 Record: Pittsburgh Steelers 4-2
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
PITH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
PIT home field | PIT 49 days / HOU 49 days
HOUA Starting QB efficiency +0.73 Moderate
Aaron Rodgers (2026) 61.4% CMP / 6.4 Y/A / 5.2% TD / 2.1% INT / 88.0 RATE · C.J. Stroud (2026) 65.3% CMP / 7.8 Y/A / 4.1% TD / 0.5% INT / 100.9 RATE
PITH Record quality +0.67 Strong
PIT 4-2 · HOU 2-4
HOUA Early-down efficiency +0.58 Moderate
42% / 45% allowed | 46% / 44% allowed
HOUA Explosive-play differential +0.52 Moderate
6% / 8% allowed | 7% / 7% allowed
PITH Pass defense +0.39 Weak
PIT 5.7 net Y/A / 61.7% CMP / 78.6 RATE | HOU 6.3 / 65.6% / 96.6
PITH Run-game matchup +0.37 Weak
PIT 4.6 rush Y/A / 4.0 allowed | HOU 3.6 / 3.4 | PBP 77% stuff avoided | 79% stuff avoided
HOUA OL vs DL matchup +0.22 Weak
PIT OL sack 7.5% / DEF sack 7.4% | HOU 6.0% / 7.6%
PITH Red-zone TD efficiency +0.17 Weak
53% / 50% allowed | 57% / 63% allowed
PITH Game-script tendencies +0.13 Weak
64% neutral pass / 60 plays | 60% / 60
PITH Raw scoring differential +0.07 Weak
PIT 22.8 PPG · HOU 24.0 PPG | PIT 21.3 PA/G · HOU 23.8 PA/G
HOUA Schedule strength +0.06 Weak
PIT 46% opp wins · HOU 49%
PITH Third-down efficiency +0.06 Weak
PIT OFF 32.9% / DEF 32.5% | HOU 39.0% / 40.8% | PBP 59%/23%/32% | 65%/22%/31%
HOUA Special teams efficiency +0.06 Weak
PIT FG 76.5% / NET PUNT 46.3 | HOU 92.9% / 43.7
PITH Turnover differential +0.04 Weak
PIT 1.2 GIVE / 1.7 TAKE | HOU 0.5 / 1.0
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