Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
San Francisco 49ers face New York Giants in Week 13 at MetLife Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
San Francisco 49ers enter with a 6-0 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 29.5 points scored and 18.3 allowed. Their current streak is 6 wins.
New York Giants enter with a 3-2-1 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 22.7 points scored and 23.3 allowed.
The scoring matchup puts San Francisco 49ers’s 29.5 points per game against a New York Giants defense allowing 23.3. In the other direction, New York Giants average 22.7 against San Francisco 49ers’s 18.3 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
San Francisco 49ers have injury designations to monitor: Nick Bosa (DE) — Questionable; Mike Evans (WR) — Questionable; Marques Sigle (S) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
New York Giants have injury designations to monitor: Tremaine Edmunds (LB) — Questionable; Jermaine Eluemunor (OT) — Questionable; Darnell Mooney (WR) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward New York Giants are Home field / environment; Game-script tendencies.
The strongest model adjustments toward San Francisco 49ers are Starting QB efficiency; Early-down efficiency.
The current model leans toward SF at 63.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: San Francisco 49ers 6-0
- 🏈 Record: New York Giants 3-2-1
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
SFA Starting QB efficiency +2.1 Very Strong
Jameis Winston (2026) 57.0% CMP / 6.1 Y/A / 4.4% TD / 3.2% INT / 76.4 RATE · Brock Purdy (2026) 69.6% CMP / 8.5 Y/A / 8.2% TD / 1.2% INT / 118.1 RATE
SFA Early-down efficiency +1.1 Strong
41% / 45% allowed | 52% / 41% allowed
SFA Record quality +1.0 Very Strong
NYG 3-2 · SF 6-0
SFA Recent form +1.0 Very Strong
NYG L1 · SF W6
NYGH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
NYG home field | NYG 49 days / SF 48 days
SFA OL vs DL matchup +0.85 Strong
NYG OL sack 7.8% / DEF sack 4.0% | SF 2.8% / 6.6%
NYGH Game-script tendencies +0.61 Strong
51% neutral pass / 61 plays | 56% / 57
SFA Run-game matchup +0.60 Moderate
NYG 3.8 rush Y/A / 5.0 allowed | SF 4.6 / 3.6 | PBP 83% stuff avoided | 84% stuff avoided
SFA Explosive-play differential +0.60 Moderate
5% / 6% allowed | 6% / 4% allowed
SFA Red-zone TD efficiency +0.56 Strong
61% / 75% allowed | 90% / 50% allowed
NYGH Key injury availability +0.50 Weak
NYG 0 unavailable starters · SF 1
SFA Raw scoring differential +0.37 Moderate
NYG 22.7 PPG · SF 29.5 PPG | NYG 23.3 PA/G · SF 18.3 PA/G
NYGH Special teams efficiency +0.13 Weak
NYG FG 81.3% / NET PUNT 48.3 | SF 66.7% / 45.5
SFA Pass defense +0.12 Weak
NYG 5.7 net Y/A / 63.4% CMP / 88.7 RATE | SF 5.5 / 65.9% / 88.4
SFA Third-down efficiency +0.12 Weak
NYG OFF 41.7% / DEF 41.7% | SF 51.5% / 38.6% | PBP 64%/67%/30% | 64%/45%/40%
SFA Schedule strength +0.11 Weak
NYG 29% opp wins · SF 35%
SFA Turnover differential +0.04 Weak
NYG 1.8 GIVE / 1.5 TAKE | SF 1.0 / 1.2
📄 More NFL Games — Sunday, December 6, 2026
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