Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Washington Commanders face Tennessee Titans in Week 13 at Nissan Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Washington Commanders enter with a 1-4-1 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 22.0 points scored and 28.7 allowed.
Tennessee Titans enter with a 1-5 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 14.0 points scored and 21.5 allowed.
The scoring matchup puts Washington Commanders’s 22.0 points per game against a Tennessee Titans defense allowing 21.5. In the other direction, Tennessee Titans average 14.0 against Washington Commanders’s 28.7 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Washington Commanders have injury designations to monitor: Javon Kinlaw (DT) — Questionable; Marcus Mariota (QB) — Doubtful; Charles Omenihu (DE) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Tennessee Titans have injury designations to monitor: Kevin Winston Jr. (S) — Questionable; Tony Adams (S) — Questionable; Dorian Mausi (LB) — IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Tennessee Titans are Home field / environment; OL vs DL matchup.
The strongest model adjustments toward Washington Commanders are Starting QB efficiency; Explosive-play differential.
The current model sees a closely balanced matchup with no strong projected edge.
- 🏈 Record: Washington Commanders 1-4-1
- 🏈 Record: Tennessee Titans 1-5
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
TENH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
TEN home field | TEN 49 days / WSH 48 days
WSHA Starting QB efficiency +0.90 Moderate
Cam Ward (2026) 61.6% CMP / 5.6 Y/A / 2.3% TD / 2.3% INT / 75.0 RATE · Jayden Daniels (2026) 64.7% CMP / 6.5 Y/A / 4.3% TD / 0.0% INT / 97.6 RATE
TENH OL vs DL matchup +0.58 Moderate
TEN OL sack 5.3% / DEF sack 7.8% | WSH 6.5% / 4.8%
TENH Early-down efficiency +0.44 Weak
39% / 42% allowed | 41% / 48% allowed
WSHA Explosive-play differential +0.40 Moderate
4% / 5% allowed | 6% / 6% allowed
TENH Recent form +0.30 Moderate
TEN W1 · WSH L1
TENH Pass defense +0.25 Weak
TEN 6.5 net Y/A / 69.1% CMP / 92.8 RATE | WSH 6.6 / 66.2% / 105.0
WSHA Turnover differential +0.23 Moderate
TEN 1.3 GIVE / 0.8 TAKE | WSH 0.3 / 1.3
WSHA Game-script tendencies +0.23 Weak
51% neutral pass / 51 plays | 52% / 61
WSHA Schedule strength +0.17 Moderate
TEN 43% opp wins · WSH 51%
TENH Red-zone TD efficiency +0.17 Weak
47% / 55% allowed | 56% / 77% allowed
TENH Third-down efficiency +0.11 Weak
TEN OFF 34.8% / DEF 40.0% | WSH 30.9% / 44.4% | PBP 69%/44%/14% | 63%/39%/21%
WSHA Run-game matchup +0.10 Weak
TEN 3.8 rush Y/A / 3.8 allowed | WSH 4.6 / 4.0 | PBP 87% stuff avoided | 81% stuff avoided
TENH Raw scoring differential +0.07 Weak
TEN 14.0 PPG · WSH 22.0 PPG | TEN 21.5 PA/G · WSH 28.7 PA/G
TENH Special teams efficiency +0.05 Weak
TEN FG 90.0% / NET PUNT 45.6 | WSH 83.3% / 44.2
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