Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Philadelphia Eagles face Arizona Cardinals in Week 13 at State Farm Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Philadelphia Eagles enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 17.7 points scored and 22.8 allowed. Their current streak is 4 losses.
Arizona Cardinals enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 21.0 points scored and 29.7 allowed.
The scoring matchup puts Philadelphia Eagles’s 17.7 points per game against a Arizona Cardinals defense allowing 29.7. In the other direction, Arizona Cardinals average 21.0 against Philadelphia Eagles’s 22.8 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Philadelphia Eagles have injury designations to monitor: Saquon Barkley (RB) — Questionable; Nolan Smith Jr. (LB) — Questionable; Michael Carter II (CB) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Arizona Cardinals have injury designations to monitor: Andrew Wingard (S) — Questionable; Wydett Williams Jr. (S) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Arizona Cardinals are Home field / environment; OL vs DL matchup.
The strongest model adjustments toward Philadelphia Eagles are Red-zone TD efficiency; Pass defense.
The current model leans toward ARI at 53.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Philadelphia Eagles 2-4
- 🏈 Record: Arizona Cardinals 2-4
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
ARIH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
ARI home field | ARI 49 days / PHI 49 days
ARIH OL vs DL matchup +0.80 Moderate
ARI OL sack 4.9% / DEF sack 7.5% | PHI 7.4% / 3.6%
ARIH Recent form +0.75 Strong
ARI W1 · PHI L4
ARIH Early-down efficiency +0.68 Moderate
47% / 45% allowed | 37% / 42% allowed
PHIA Red-zone TD efficiency +0.53 Strong
48% / 76% allowed | 63% / 54% allowed
PHIA Pass defense +0.37 Weak
ARI 7.4 net Y/A / 65.7% CMP / 116.5 RATE | PHI 6.5 / 60.4% / 88.2
PHIA Explosive-play differential +0.36 Weak
3% / 6% allowed | 4% / 5% allowed
PHIA Run-game matchup +0.30 Weak
ARI 3.7 rush Y/A / 4.4 allowed | PHI 3.7 / 4.0 | PBP 77% stuff avoided | 73% stuff avoided
PHIA Game-script tendencies +0.19 Weak
56% neutral pass / 66 plays | 56% / 55
PHIA Raw scoring differential +0.13 Weak
ARI 21.0 PPG · PHI 17.7 PPG | ARI 29.7 PA/G · PHI 22.8 PA/G
ARIH Schedule strength +0.11 Weak
ARI 50% opp wins · PHI 45%
PHIA Third-down efficiency +0.11 Weak
ARI OFF 39.3% / DEF 41.8% | PHI 37.3% / 38.9% | PBP 69%/42%/23% | 47%/61%/27%
ARIH Turnover differential +0.10 Weak
ARI 1.0 GIVE / 1.3 TAKE | PHI 0.8 / 0.5
PHIA Special teams efficiency +0.06 Weak
ARI FG 87.5% / NET PUNT 40.5 | PHI 100.0% / 44.1
ARIH Starting QB efficiency +0.05 Weak
Jacoby Brissett (2026) 66.7% CMP / 5.7 Y/A / 3.8% TD / 2.6% INT / 83.4 RATE · Tanner McKee (2026) 57.8% CMP / 4.8 Y/A / 2.2% TD / 0.0% INT / 77.5 RATE
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