Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Minnesota Vikings face San Francisco 49ers in Week 11 at Estadio Banorte. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Minnesota Vikings enter with a 5-0 record across 5 completed games in this competition phase. They average 21.8 points scored and 12.8 allowed. Their current streak is 5 wins.
San Francisco 49ers enter with a 6-0 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 29.5 points scored and 18.3 allowed. Their current streak is 6 wins.
The scoring matchup puts Minnesota Vikings’s 21.8 points per game against a San Francisco 49ers defense allowing 18.3. In the other direction, San Francisco 49ers average 29.5 against Minnesota Vikings’s 12.8 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Minnesota Vikings have injury designations to monitor: Jordan Addison (WR) — Questionable; Christian Darrisaw (OT) — Questionable; T.J. Hockenson (TE) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
San Francisco 49ers have injury designations to monitor: Nick Bosa (DE) — Questionable; Mike Evans (WR) — Questionable; Marques Sigle (S) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward San Francisco 49ers are Starting QB efficiency; Home field / environment.
The strongest model adjustments toward Minnesota Vikings are Pass defense; Key injury availability.
The current model leans toward SF at 57.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Minnesota Vikings 5-0
- 🏈 Record: San Francisco 49ers 6-0
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
SFH Starting QB efficiency +1.2 Moderate
Brock Purdy (2026) 69.6% CMP / 8.5 Y/A / 8.2% TD / 1.2% INT / 118.1 RATE · Kyler Murray (2026) 68.3% CMP / 6.6 Y/A / 2.0% TD / 2.0% INT / 84.7 RATE
SFH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
SF home field | SF 34 days / MIN 42 days
SFH Explosive-play differential +0.54 Moderate
6% / 4% allowed | 5% / 5% allowed
MINA Pass defense +0.52 Moderate
SF 5.5 net Y/A / 65.9% CMP / 88.4 RATE | MIN 5.0 / 53.2% / 62.9
SFH Early-down efficiency +0.52 Moderate
52% / 41% allowed | 33% / 34% allowed
MINA Key injury availability +0.50 Weak
SF 1 unavailable starters · MIN 0
SFH Run-game matchup +0.43 Moderate
SF 4.6 rush Y/A / 3.6 allowed | MIN 3.8 / 4.0 | PBP 84% stuff avoided | 79% stuff avoided
SFH OL vs DL matchup +0.16 Weak
SF OL sack 2.8% / DEF sack 6.6% | MIN 9.7% / 9.8%
SFH Raw scoring differential +0.16 Weak
SF 29.5 PPG · MIN 21.8 PPG | SF 18.3 PA/G · MIN 12.8 PA/G
SFH Recent form +0.15 Weak
SF W6 · MIN W5
MINA Turnover differential +0.15 Moderate
SF 1.0 GIVE / 1.2 TAKE | MIN 0.8 / 2.0
MINA Special teams efficiency +0.15 Moderate
SF FG 66.7% / NET PUNT 45.5 | MIN 100.0% / 41.0
SFH Game-script tendencies +0.13 Weak
56% neutral pass / 57 plays | 52% / 58
MINA Third-down efficiency +0.08 Weak
SF OFF 51.5% / DEF 38.6% | MIN 38.0% / 22.2% | PBP 64%/45%/40% | 80%/48%/21%
MINA Schedule strength +0.04 Weak
SF 35% opp wins · MIN 37%
SFH Red-zone TD efficiency +0.04 Weak
90% / 50% allowed | 50% / 25% allowed
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