Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Pittsburgh Steelers face Philadelphia Eagles in Week 11 at Lincoln Financial Field. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Pittsburgh Steelers enter with a 4-2 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 22.8 points scored and 21.3 allowed. Their current streak is 2 wins.
Philadelphia Eagles enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 17.7 points scored and 22.8 allowed. Their current streak is 4 losses.
The scoring matchup puts Pittsburgh Steelers’s 22.8 points per game against a Philadelphia Eagles defense allowing 22.8. In the other direction, Philadelphia Eagles average 17.7 against Pittsburgh Steelers’s 21.3 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Pittsburgh Steelers have injury designations to monitor: Ben Skowronek (WR) — Questionable; Brandin Echols (CB) — Questionable; DeShon Elliott (S) — IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Philadelphia Eagles have injury designations to monitor: Saquon Barkley (RB) — Questionable; Nolan Smith Jr. (LB) — Questionable; Michael Carter II (CB) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Philadelphia Eagles are Home field / environment; Third-down efficiency.
The strongest model adjustments toward Pittsburgh Steelers are Recent form; Record quality.
The current model leans toward PIT at 54.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Pittsburgh Steelers 4-2
- 🏈 Record: Philadelphia Eagles 2-4
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
PHIH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
PHI home field | PHI 35 days / PIT 35 days
PITA Recent form +0.90 Very Strong
PHI L4 · PIT W2
PITA Record quality +0.67 Strong
PHI 2-4 · PIT 4-2
PITA OL vs DL matchup +0.41 Weak
PHI OL sack 7.4% / DEF sack 3.6% | PIT 7.5% / 7.4%
PITA Pass defense +0.40 Weak
PHI 6.5 net Y/A / 60.4% CMP / 88.2 RATE | PIT 5.7 / 61.7% / 78.6
PITA Run-game matchup +0.26 Weak
PHI 3.7 rush Y/A / 4.0 allowed | PIT 4.6 / 4.0 | PBP 73% stuff avoided | 77% stuff avoided
PITA Raw scoring differential +0.19 Weak
PHI 17.7 PPG · PIT 22.8 PPG | PHI 22.8 PA/G · PIT 21.3 PA/G
PHIH Third-down efficiency +0.17 Weak
PHI OFF 37.3% / DEF 38.9% | PIT 32.9% / 32.5% | PBP 47%/61%/27% | 59%/23%/32%
PITA Turnover differential +0.15 Moderate
PHI 0.8 GIVE / 0.5 TAKE | PIT 1.2 / 1.7
PITA Early-down efficiency +0.15 Weak
37% / 42% allowed | 42% / 45% allowed
PHIH Game-script tendencies +0.13 Weak
56% neutral pass / 55 plays | 64% / 60
PHIH Special teams efficiency +0.10 Weak
PHI FG 100.0% / NET PUNT 44.1 | PIT 76.5% / 46.3
PHIH Red-zone TD efficiency +0.10 Weak
63% / 54% allowed | 53% / 50% allowed
PITA Starting QB efficiency +0.09 Weak
Tanner McKee (2026) 57.8% CMP / 4.8 Y/A / 2.2% TD / 0.0% INT / 77.5 RATE · Aaron Rodgers (2026) 61.4% CMP / 6.4 Y/A / 5.2% TD / 2.1% INT / 88.0 RATE
PHIH Explosive-play differential +0.08 Weak
4% / 5% allowed | 6% / 8% allowed
PITA Schedule strength +0.03 Weak
PHI 45% opp wins · PIT 46%
📄 More NFL Games — Sunday, November 22, 2026
See the Full Analysis
All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.