Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
New York Jets face Los Angeles Chargers in Week 11 at SoFi Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
New York Jets enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 18.7 points scored and 20.3 allowed.
Los Angeles Chargers enter with a 0-6 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 15.0 points scored and 25.2 allowed. Their current streak is 6 losses.
The scoring matchup puts New York Jets’s 18.7 points per game against a Los Angeles Chargers defense allowing 25.2. In the other direction, Los Angeles Chargers average 15.0 against New York Jets’s 20.3 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
New York Jets have injury designations to monitor: Breece Hall (RB) — Questionable; Kiko Mauigoa (LB) — Questionable; Adonai Mitchell (WR) — Doubtful. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Los Angeles Chargers have injury designations to monitor: Joe Alt (OT) — Questionable; Kayode Awosika (G) — Questionable; Tre' Harris (WR) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Los Angeles Chargers are Home field / environment; Run-game matchup.
The strongest model adjustments toward New York Jets are Starting QB efficiency; Game-script tendencies.
The current model leans toward NYJ at 59.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: New York Jets 2-4
- 🏈 Record: Los Angeles Chargers 0-6
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
NYJA Starting QB efficiency +1.8 Strong
Justin Herbert (2026) 59.4% CMP / 6.3 Y/A / 2.8% TD / 4.4% INT / 68.8 RATE · Geno Smith (2026) 68.9% CMP / 7.5 Y/A / 4.0% TD / 0.6% INT / 101.8 RATE
LACH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
LAC home field | LAC 35 days / NYJ 35 days
NYJA Game-script tendencies +0.87 Very Strong
43% neutral pass / 56 plays | 54% / 55
NYJA Recent form +0.75 Strong
LAC L6 · NYJ L1
NYJA Record quality +0.67 Strong
LAC 0-6 · NYJ 2-4
NYJA Pass defense +0.61 Moderate
LAC 6.8 net Y/A / 66.7% CMP / 90.7 RATE | NYJ 5.3 / 61.5% / 93.1
NYJA Early-down efficiency +0.48 Moderate
40% / 40% allowed | 48% / 44% allowed
NYJA OL vs DL matchup +0.36 Weak
LAC OL sack 10.4% / DEF sack 6.0% | NYJ 9.7% / 8.1%
LACH Run-game matchup +0.29 Weak
LAC 4.2 rush Y/A / 4.0 allowed | NYJ 3.6 / 4.2 | PBP 83% stuff avoided | 77% stuff avoided
LACH Red-zone TD efficiency +0.27 Moderate
50% / 48% allowed | 31% / 50% allowed
NYJA Raw scoring differential +0.21 Weak
LAC 15.0 PPG · NYJ 18.7 PPG | LAC 25.2 PA/G · NYJ 20.3 PA/G
NYJA Turnover differential +0.14 Weak
LAC 2.5 GIVE / 1.7 TAKE | NYJ 0.7 / 1.3
LACH Schedule strength +0.13 Weak
LAC 64% opp wins · NYJ 57%
LACH Third-down efficiency +0.11 Weak
LAC OFF 34.1% / DEF 31.1% | NYJ 35.1% / 37.7% | PBP 70%/36%/26% | 60%/41%/25%
NYJA Special teams efficiency +0.05 Weak
LAC FG 81.8% / NET PUNT 43.3 | NYJ 92.3% / 42.3
LACH Explosive-play differential +0.04 Weak
5% / 5% allowed | 5% / 5% allowed
📄 More NFL Games — Sunday, November 22, 2026
See the Full Analysis
All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.