Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Tennessee Titans face Dallas Cowboys in Week 11 at AT&T Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Tennessee Titans enter with a 1-5 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 14.0 points scored and 21.5 allowed.
Dallas Cowboys enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 25.2 points scored and 26.5 allowed. Their current streak is 2 losses.
The scoring matchup puts Tennessee Titans’s 14.0 points per game against a Dallas Cowboys defense allowing 26.5. In the other direction, Dallas Cowboys average 25.2 against Tennessee Titans’s 21.5 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Tennessee Titans have injury designations to monitor: Kevin Winston Jr. (S) — Questionable; Tony Adams (S) — Questionable; Dorian Mausi (LB) — IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Dallas Cowboys have injury designations to monitor: DeMarvion Overshown (LB) — Questionable; KaVontae Turpin (WR) — Questionable; Dee Winters (LB) — Doubtful. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Dallas Cowboys are Home field / environment; Starting QB efficiency.
The strongest model adjustments toward Tennessee Titans are Run-game matchup; Pass defense.
The current model leans toward DAL at 53.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Tennessee Titans 1-5
- 🏈 Record: Dallas Cowboys 2-4
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
DALH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
DAL home field | DAL 35 days / TEN 35 days
DALH Starting QB efficiency +0.80 Moderate
Dak Prescott (2026) 66.3% CMP / 6.7 Y/A / 4.1% TD / 2.0% INT / 90.1 RATE · Cam Ward (2026) 61.6% CMP / 5.6 Y/A / 2.3% TD / 2.3% INT / 75.0 RATE
TENA Run-game matchup +0.53 Moderate
DAL 3.7 rush Y/A / 4.7 allowed | TEN 3.8 / 3.8 | PBP 80% stuff avoided | 87% stuff avoided
TENA Pass defense +0.50 Moderate
DAL 7.4 net Y/A / 68.5% CMP / 110.2 RATE | TEN 6.5 / 69.1% / 92.8
DALH Early-down efficiency +0.48 Moderate
49% / 47% allowed | 39% / 42% allowed
TENA Recent form +0.45 Moderate
DAL L2 · TEN W1
DALH Game-script tendencies +0.35 Moderate
62% neutral pass / 60 plays | 51% / 51
DALH Record quality +0.33 Moderate
DAL 2-4 · TEN 1-5
TENA Explosive-play differential +0.24 Weak
5% / 8% allowed | 4% / 5% allowed
DALH Red-zone TD efficiency +0.24 Moderate
77% / 71% allowed | 47% / 55% allowed
TENA OL vs DL matchup +0.23 Weak
DAL OL sack 2.8% / DEF sack 4.2% | TEN 5.3% / 7.8%
TENA Special teams efficiency +0.11 Weak
DAL FG 75.0% / NET PUNT 44.1 | TEN 90.0% / 45.6
DALH Raw scoring differential +0.10 Weak
DAL 25.2 PPG · TEN 14.0 PPG | DAL 26.5 PA/G · TEN 21.5 PA/G
DALH Third-down efficiency +0.10 Weak
DAL OFF 47.2% / DEF 54.7% | TEN 34.8% / 40.0% | PBP 80%/44%/30% | 69%/44%/14%
DALH Schedule strength +0.03 Weak
DAL 44% opp wins · TEN 43%
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